Is this a spew?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Is this a spew?

Blinds: $0.10/$0.20 (4 Players) BB: $22.96
CO: $20.30 (Hero)
BN: $24.76
SB: $27.05
Preflop ($0.30) Hero is CO with 9 K
Hero raises to $0.50, BN calls $0.50, 2 folds
Flop ($1.30) 3 T 7
Hero bets $0.91, BN calls $0.91
Turn ($3.12) 3 T 7 3
Hero checks, BN bets $1.60, Hero raises to $4.75, BN calls $3.15
River ($12.62) 3 T 7 3 3
Hero bets $14.14 and is all in

Villain is a reg who floats me a lot IP. Fold to cbet vs hero 15% IP. Bet when checked to OTT 79% total. WTSD 25. WWSF 49. AF 3.8. Cold call BTN vs CO 7%. Resteal vs hero 20% (so he will 3-bet at least JJ+ maybe TT here). 3-bet BNT vs CO 4%... so maybe not TT.

The plan was to cbet (have some backdoors) and x-raise almost any turn exccept 8-9-K. Also the plan was that villain folds to my x-raise.

So turn-3, he has less sets, a tonn of floats, I x-raise. But here the plan failed. He called. River-3. So he might call my river jam with Tx+ unless he puts me exactly on JJ+. And he certainly folds all missed draws (he has at least flush draws and OESD).

How you feel guys - is jam plus EV?

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