Is this a 'correct' 3-barrel bluff?
Posted by KillEV
Posted by
KillEV
posted in
Low Stakes
Is this a 'correct' 3-barrel bluff?
SB: $28.81
BB: $33.09 (Hero)
UTG: $37.08
MP: $22.00
CO: $65.90
opp cc range is 11 from BU, 3b is 4,5, fold to 3b% 0... i have 720 hands on him
Standard play pre
OTF i thought opp range is capped to PPs so a bet should fold most of them and plan to go for 3 barrel here.
OTT i think here is sizing mistake. if i want to jam river i should have bet bigger
OTR very good card to jam since opp should not have FDS that X/C twice and i would have heard before of sets (2 combos ). but i am not super happy since turn brought other draw and i have Kd myslef
anyways, this is my doubt. otr my 3 barreling range for value in this spot looks like this:
QQ+,AcKc,AcQc,AcJc
now this is my doubt, how many bluffs can i have otr? assuming opp bluff catching range is basically this QQ-88 maybe 77 and perhaps some 9x too if he decide to call IP.
i really dont know how to create a bluff range in this spot, and when i played this hands i thought Ackd could work, also is it necessary to have one against reg such as this opp? I think i need to know opp folding frequency on the river and whats fold equity there, but im beginner with that and if someone could help me i would be really thankfull
thx
Loading 5 Comments...
You're betting 21 value hands on the river and the sizing is about 16.22 into 25.75 so you want to bet about 13 combos of bluffs.
Given you have some dd broadways and AJ/AQ combos which are lower in your range and likely have better blockers against JJ and maybe he can show up with QQ I think you can check all of your AK hands. You still have some showdown value and if you are betting everything you've likely got too many bluffs.
I think river is a check as tom said. With no blockers to QQ or JJ, and since you have the both the Ac and Kd I think he had a lot less draws that he calls with here. I guess it's up to V if he's calling with JJ or QQ, because that's almost certainly what he has.
Thanks for the comments guys.
I don't mind it tbh, but with that many hands I think you have some more relevant stats.
Overall vpip/pfr, wts, ftcb by street are all super relevant here...
I also think you could have more fush combos with Acxc that you bluff squeeze with
If you think he flats 9x pre and then continues to call down to the river what is he even folding. So if i were to barrel turn it would be because i expect villain to fold some over pairs to the triple barrel because your fold equity looks really low on that turn card unless he was flatting a very wide range pre that just floats the flop one time but even then you could play x/c with AK vs that player type and let him hang himself.
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