Is there anything way off in my stats?
Posted by Starman
Posted by Starman posted in Low Stakes
Is there anything way off in my stats?
Hi guys,
I've been playing and studying NL for a bit now and would love some feedback on my stats.
I play pretty tight preflop but I think this is a decent adjustment to the micro playerpool and also makes my life easier postflop,
where I'm not that comfortable yet.
One thing I want to fix is my 3bet, which seems to be way lower then what many recommend (around 8% if I understad correctly).
I want to 3bet lighter vs BTN opens and as far as I understand my range should be linear and not polarized since I expect villain to call a lot?
would this be a decent 3betting range BB or SB vs BTN:
TT+,AJs+,KJs+,QJs,AQo+,KQo,QJo
Of course I would need to adjust this depending on who is on the BTN.
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Hello here is my opinion : Flop cbet is too high and turn cbet is too low so difference is too big.WTSD is pretty low and diver call eff is on higher side, seems you miss some thing value and bluffcatching spots. Better to start with btn vs co 3beting range coz you will be ip. Better to 3bet some high eq hands like A2-A5s or suited broadway coz ip you could realize more eq and easier to avoid domination problems. Connectors are OK as well but it needs more post flop skill. After you are OK with ip 3bet pots you can go for blinds defending. Also it's very profitable to 3 bet you from blinds almost with any 2 cards,you fold to much.
Sorry for my English, its not my native language
Thank you for your answer.
I think the high cbet / low T cbet is a decent adjustment to the playerpool because they overfold flop a lot, so most cbets are instantly profitable but once they call they have a v. strong range on the turn. However I might be overadjusting to this and I have to figure out how to change my strategy once other players exploit me in this spot. Also my understanding of board texture is quite limited so I'll have to look into that.
The advice to start with working on 3betting BTN v CO makes a lot of sense to me so I with that.
It OK to have high cbet on flop at micros, but so you need to double barrel more, for example you can go cbet with A2hh on Kd3s8h and continue on any h, 5, 4, as semibluff and A for value.(if you already aware of it just ignore this post =)
Just preflop I think your UTG and MP opening ranges are a bit too tight. And your CO and BU ranges are also too close together. While I don't mind opening 28% from the CO I think only stealing only 34% from the button is quite bad for your win rate.
I also suggest you expand your range from the SB and your BB vpip is super low. I'd be stealing 100% of buttons and 100% of SB if you are in the BB.
You also don't 3bet nearly enough overall. Especially SB/BB vs BU you can go much much wider in terms of 3b than the range you mentioned.
You are overfolding your blinds to steals. Regs are pounding on you because it's the easiest leak to identify for any player who looks at your fold-vs-steal stats and adjusts accordingly. So definitely learn to defend your BB and your SB with a much wider range against late position openers.
Your flop/turn cbet stats are messed up and really easy to exploit. You cbet too much, and your range on the turn is very weak so that you can't follow up most of the time. Whenever you do 3barrel you are most likely very nutted, and it should be no problem to exploitatively over fold rivers against most of your bet-sizings while expecting a lot successful bluffs whenever you check turn or river.
Your wtsd and wsd stats from BU position seems a bit too low. I think this suggests that you play that position a little bit too aggressively or you don't have enough checks in your lines. You should be getting to showdown more often and also winning more of them.
You fold vs 3bets too often from BU.
Edit: I thought you folded too much UTG but it's the other way around. You don't fold much vs 3bets from UTG but overfolding BU vs SB/BB who will have somewhat wide 3bet ranges against your steals.
I assume your 33% range from the BU looks something like this
22+, A2s+, K7s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 64s+, 54s, A2o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo
If I extrapolate from that info and see what your 16% (70 out of 438 combos) defending range looks like it comes down to TT+, ATs+, AQo+ does that look about right? If that's the case I can almost guarantee you are getting pounded by BB/SB re-steals.
All that said, none of those points are giant leaks at those stakes :)
Edit for edit.
Sorry I had to make some edits because I read the stats upside down oO
Aaah really sorry bro I had to edit my post 100 times because I read some BU stats as UTG.
Thanks a lot for the detailed response, you basically laid out a plan of what I need to study so thats super useful.
My plan now is to work on my preflop game (since most of what you said is related to preflop play) first so that I have somewhat solid ranges and then work on improving my cbet strategy.
Do you think this is a reasonable approach. Obviously I want to focus on the most urgent leaks first.
Yes man just keep doing what you're doing now (reading forums, watching vids etc.) and you'll figure it out in no time.
Try to adjust slowly and smoothly one or two things at a time and see how it goes. Don't try to instantly change your whole game based on the stuff people pointed out. Just try to be conscious of the things mentioned whenever one of those spots presents itself try to identify it.
And as I said, some of those things you're doing are not necessarily leaks but I think it's good for you to be aware of them.
(for example, people might not be stealing enough against you then your high fold vs steal is not a problem but rather good, and if people only 3bet similar range to yours against a steal then folding 84% of buttons against their 3bet is probably not a leak at all but a good exploitative adjustment. But still something you want to be conscious about imo.)
Try opening BU with a range such as this for a while and see how it goes:
(that's only 44% some people open >65% of buttons)
AA-22,AKo-A2o,KQo-K8o,QJo-Q9o,JTo-J9o,T9o,AKs-A2s,KQs-K2s,QJs-Q2s,JTs-J5s,T9s-T6s,98s-96s,87s-85s,76s-74s,65s-64s,54s-53s,43s
In the SB I would go with a range such as this for a start (36%):
AA-22,AKo-A7o,KQo-K9o,QJo-Q9o,JTo-J9o,T9o,98o,AKs-A2s,KQs-K2s,QJs-Q4s,JTs-J7s,T9s-T7s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s
Those videos helped my cbet game a lot. I really recommend watching them if you haven't done so yet.
http://www.runitonce.com/poker-training/videos/continuation-bets/
http://www.runitonce.com/poker-training/videos/continuation-bets-hand-examples-part-2-2/
http://www.runitonce.com/poker-training/videos/continuation-bets-hand-examples-part-3/
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