Interesting spot OTR in big pot
Posted by eaSy_
Posted by
eaSy_
posted in
Low Stakes
Interesting spot OTR in big pot
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $54.16
SB: $45.19
BB: $83.63 (Hero)
UTG: $33.03
MP: $80.81
CO: $22.29
SB: $45.19
BB: $83.63 (Hero)
UTG: $33.03
MP: $80.81
CO: $22.29
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is BB with
K
A
, , , ,
Flop
($5.10)
Q
5
K
,
Turn
($10.90)
Q
5
K
9
,
River
($22.76)
Q
5
K
9
A
, ,
Villain is thinking reg 21/19.
Is sizing OK? I can probably size bigger given stack depth. What can he really have OTR that doesn't raise at some point? What's the range you give him guys? He's definitely capable of turning hands into bluffs. I do realise that he coulse also have 0 bluffs here.
AdJd would we a good hand to turn into a bluff here right?
I need to be good 26% and vs KK,JTs,AdJd,AsJs I get 28,5%. vs KK+,JTs,AdJd,AsJs I get 25%. vs QQ+,JTs,AdJd,AsJs 18%.
What do you think about the ranges?
Loading 5 Comments...
I would propably fold even QQ in this spot.
You put 3 barrels in a spot where your range is extremaly protected by str8s/sets/two pairs and he just decides to raise and put another 100bb in. Hardly anyone bluffs in this spot imo and hardly anyone raise AK for value there as you can have QQ.
This is a very intresting hand.
Playing so deep i am not 100% sure that we should bet all the street with TP in such complex board. I would try to pot control.
x/c could be an option
As played , I agree with the previous comment
OTT I would check-call with your specific hand. I would probably bet AdKd but would check most other AK, considering how wet the board is I don't think 3 streets of betting is going to net much value from his calling range.
I would value-bet sets, two-pair, and flush-draws, but not often tptk/overpair type hands unless they have some sort of solid draw to go with.
OTR I don't see why villain wouldn't raise JTs, KQs, KK or QQ OTT so we may want to discard those from his range. With that in mind villain should not have much of a value raising range OTR - at least none that makes sense to me.
I think we should definitely a check our hand but as played I would call this raise because V's line doesn't add up to something that has us beat unless he specifically slow played JTs OTT. Aside from that he shouldn't have very many value-hands at all.
I'd say that your range for value betting on this river should be KK, QQ, and maybe few JTs combos if you have those in your 3bet range.
Overall I think this river spot is hard to analyze because I think that both turn, and river were played a bit too aggressively.
I like betting flop/turn
River I'd bet/fold small -- Think once the A rivers it's hard for us to be bluffing.
Villain has exactly JTss/JTdd often
I would never put 3 barrels valuff here, i mean, what hands do you expect him to call 3 barrels in this spot? it´s a 3Bet from BBvsMP. I think you won´t have 50%+ equity at most rivers.
So I would play bet flop, XC turn, and only if this guy is very aggressive and capable to Turn SD value hands into bluffs i would call that River.
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