I'm thinking about hero calling.
Posted by Kinda Close
Posted by Kinda Close posted in Low Stakes
I'm thinking about hero calling.
https://www.weaktight.com/h/55f068a1d390432d628b45c6
His range: TT,88,33,ATs,Q9s+,J9s+,T8s,97s,KdQd,KdJd,KsJs,KdTd,Ad9d,Kd9d,Td9d,Ad8d,Ad7d,Ad6d,7d6d,7s6s,As5s,7d5d,7s5s,6d5d,Ad4d,Ad3d,Ad2d,ATo,KdQh,KdQs,KdQc,KhQd,KsQd,KcQd,KdJh,KdJs,KdJc,QdJh,QdJs,QdJc,QhJd,QsJd,QcJd (67 combos)
Given the fact I only have 8 combos of flushes, I assume his SD gonna barrel.
My range: TdTc, 9d9h, 9d9s, 9d9c, 7d7h, 7d7s, 7d7c, 6d6h, 6d6s, 6d6c, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, KdTd, QdTd, JdTd, JcTc, Td9d, Tc9c, Tc8c, AdKh, AdKs, AdKc, AhKd, AsKd, AcKd, AdQh, AdQs, AdQc, AhQd, AsQd, AcQd, AdJh, AdJs, AdJc, AdTc (37 combos)
MDF is 58%, I have to defend 21 combos. I'm gonna defend 12 combos of tripps+, I have to assign 9 more. PP doesn't block his flushes, so I'd rather call with AdKx stuff.
If I call with all combos of Ad broadway, it's gonna be unbalanced. However, If my assumption is right, he's over bluffing on this spot.
Summary
- I assumed he's gonna barrel all of his SD combos.
- His weak Tx check back at some point.
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