Ignition .02/.05 5NL Population Report
Posted by keithdunlap
Posted by
keithdunlap
posted in
Low Stakes
Ignition .02/.05 5NL Population Report
Sample size is small, but after 15,000 hands, I ran a population report on PT4. Still, some interesting takeaways, I think. First and foremost, Villain is folding only around 30% on average to 3Bet, whether Villain has opened with 2bet or limp called. This low fold percentage is not the result of tight opening ranges. Average VPIP/PFR is around 26/14. So, Hero has below average fold equity generally and should probably 3bet a tighter range for value in most cases. This frequency recommendation, of course, needs to be balanced against rake considerations. The low fold percentage might also influence Hero's strategies for isolating and squeezing too. The average fold percentage for isolating and squeezing is better, around 55%, but when one multiplies .55 x .55, worse. I have had mixed success with increasing bet sizes. Villain seems generally inelastic. Also interesting is the fact (why I ran the report in the first place) that Villain is completely positionally unaware. Except for small blind and big blind, both of which also yield surprising results, the numbers are almost identical for every other position. So, Hero can assume that Villains on average open 26% of hands from UTG and BTN. Villain is open raising, however, only around 14% of hands, another reason to 3bet tighter and more for value, even from SB and BB. Speaking of SB and BB, Villain seems to have strategies confused for these two positions. Villain is only defending BB on average about 25% of the time but, mostly because of a a tendency to limp behind, defending the SB closer to 40% of the time. Anyway, these were the main takeaways. As I said, I am aware the sample size is small, but given the density of the sample, "8" players v 1, worth thinking about at least. Thought I would share for anyone who plays low stakes online. I haven't played enough ACR to do a report there yet; but my impression is that the pool is not as passive, so I wouldn't extrapolate.
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Hello keithdunlap where are you running your reports? In PT4? HM3? H2N? I only ask because I have upwards of 1.5 million hands from 5NL to 50NL and the trends you are describing are rampant at these stakes. I used H2N with converted hands which show all hole cards.
I do agree that the #1 leak in these pools is calling too much. The absolutely call 3b way too often OOP. Looks like you are on the right track with your assumptions. Also, study how to play vs an @ 22% cold call range IP vs your EP opens. The cold calling is ridiculously high. Plug that range in and add in some weighting for their calls with the preflop nuts (AA/KK/QQ/AK, I usually weight them between 15 to 20% since one combo of AA is 16.67% of the overall AA range). Add in your opening range and see how they interact. Check more often on the flop OOP but I don't like checking range. Just bet in a more polarized fashion (bigger sizing, better quality hands) and really study how turns shift equities on different cards.
The pools overall RFI's are the following:
UTG 17%
MP 20%
CO 25%
BTN 35%
SB 31%
Pools 3b vs UTG ranges from 4.7% to 5.5%
Pools 3b vs MP ranges from 5.5% to 6.1%
Pools 3b vs CO ranges from 6% to 7.6%
Pools 3b vs BTN ranges from 8.5% to 9.6%
Pools 3b vs SB is 10%
The only thing that sticks out to me is the blind defense in SRP's. I have BB calling vs UTG at 30% and vs BTN at 37%. BB's defend @ 46% vs SB opens in my sample.
There are a ton of exploits for this network. Looks like you are heading in the right direction.
By the way, the squeeze success BB vs BTN/SB and SB vs CO/BTN is astronomical. I agree with you 100%.
PT4. I assume some of the difference here is variance, some because my pool is the smallest stake. Yeah. Thanks. I weight AA, KK, the same, pretty much, in my off table study. (I love the Flopzilla range v range capability, especially with the hotness matrix.) Crazy how often Villain slow plays both AA and KK at these stakes.
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