hyper ineteresting hand! t9s nl25 SPAZZ OR NOT?
Posted by Tomasz K
Posted by Tomasz K posted in Low Stakes
hyper ineteresting hand! t9s nl25 SPAZZ OR NOT?
CO: $35.69
BN: $28.23 (Hero)
SB: $25.48
BB: $27.71
vs 30/26 3b 10/fold vs 3b 2/7, afq 50 after 160hands, it's a reg.
so lets start from beginning,
I find this 3b pf as normal, my calling range is 22-JJ, good suited broadways, maybe JTs, so T9s is my top of folding range which has a great playibility, so I think it's a great hand to 3b.
I do 3b in this spot weak suited connectors, some Axs etc + nuts.
When we get called, I assume his range is ATs+, AQo+, 66-JJ, maybe AK, good suited broadways and suited connectors.
He seems to be too aggresive, I dont want to be bluffed so I'm cbetting really small as this board is dry and I think it favorize me a little.
When we get called in my opinion his range is Ax, 88-JJ and maybe some random floats like KsQs etc.
OTT I dont see much folding equity, so I xb. I would barrel here only good FD, 2pairs and bet good Ax, sometimes I xb it, esp. when I have As.
What should I do here with hand like AK, when we dont have 3 streets for value?
And now river, it's funny here.
So I think his betting his 88, TT, AT, AQ, AK and maybe few combos of bluffs.
So his range is like 3,84% - 38 combos, I think I can bluff here hands like all Ax, maybe some 2 pairs? AT? TBH if I was this guy I would definetely fold AT. It's like 25-30 combos. he calls with sets, flushes, and maybe some AT. I think I have ~70% of feq, when I bet 24$ to win 16$ I need 66%.
What do you think about this hand? I like bluffing OTR esp. when Im blocking his AT, or TT.
SPAZZ OR NOT :) ? I think mostly it depends what's his calling range PF I think I made an assumptions with the most narrow one, imo it should be much wider looking at population on nl25.
if you see any leaks in my thinking process please write it!
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