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HUNL 1k river bluff against capped range

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HUNL 1k river bluff against capped range

SB: $1609.88 (Hero)
BB: $1387.90
Preflop ($15.00) (2 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 T
Hero raises to $15, BB calls $10
Flop ($40.00) 2 3 6 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $31.20, BB calls $31.20
Turn ($102.40) 5 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $81.12, BB raises to $275.80, Hero calls $194.68
River ($654.00) 3 (2 Players)
BB bets $435.33
This is from a 2 tabling match against a party reg. We are 200 hands in and he has been pretty passive in general, but has ck-r turns several times. We have been to showdown twice after he ck-r turn and once he was bluffing and gave up on a blank river and once he had it and bet river.

In this hand my plan on the turn is to float him, assuming he will give up on the river if he is bluffing. BUT once the river pairs, my range suddenly becomes very strong since my turn calling range should mainly consist of sets, 4x and a little bit of air.

Villian needs 30% eqt to call the river bet and I don't think he has that at all. However, if he is value betting a straight he is at the top of his range and I guess he shouldn't fold?

If I was in villians shoes I would ck-c this river with a straight because he is probably not called by worse and it balances the times he ck-f the river.

Thoughts?

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