HU river spot
Posted by FIVEbetbLUFF
Posted by
FIVEbetbLUFF
posted in
Mid Stakes
HU river spot
Villain SB $2 ($464)
Hero BB $4 ($855)
Villain raises to $8, Hero 3b to $28 with AsAc, Villain calls.
(pot $55.5) Flop 6c3h2h, Hero bets $36, Villain calls.
(pot $122) Turn Js, Hero bets $81, Villain calls.
(pot $301) River 5d, Hero??
Effective Stacks are a pot sized bet. We were about 35 hands into the match and he was raising 90% on button for a min raise and 3b 35% and flatted my 3bets 3/3 times. I think he has some bluff catchers in his range (including 77-99, Jxhh, 76s, 86s, A6s, K6s, A3s, and probably has some like KhJx AhJx KxJh AxJh). He has some bluffs, like A7hh A8hh a9hh AThh KhTh KhQh Kh9h Kh8h Kh7h QhTh Qh9h Qh8h Qh7h 7h8h 7h9h 9h8h Th9h Th8h.. and obviously the hands that I fear 22,33,66, J6s, 65s, 54s, 64s, 34s, 44, 55.
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Close between x/c or shove... We need more info.
Just started playing this player. He seemed a bit spewy pre but wasn't really doing much crazy stuff post
c/c river. population will bluff this card close to 100% when they miss their draws on this run-out
issue I had was that a lot of this bluff catchers got there, ie. 44,55,34s,65s,64s, and then hands like A4hh K4hh J4hh. I wasn't sure what would call if I jammed either I mean, I'm not even sure if 77-99 KhJx QhJx 6x calls every time and other than that, he has mostly air and hands that beat us
Given your reads, i would just x/f vs this guy early in the match.
Well my reads are that he does not have enough worse hands that can call a shove and he definitely has some better. But he also has a plethora of missed flushes, so it still seems like it will be close if I check. Could I bet a smaller bet size to get value from his 77-99 Jx 6x? Might be best to do that with my air/missed draws and my big hands (JJ-AA, AJs, occasional 4x hand)... I wont have that many bluffs, (as some of bluffs on flop didn't pick up backdoor and would have given up) so maybe a smaller bet size works better.
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