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HU NL 2K vs good reg, 1st hand.

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Posted by posted in High Stakes

HU NL 2K vs good reg, 1st hand.

Unfortunately the HH is messed up for some reason so please bear with me.

NL2k

Hero is SB

Villian is BB

Hero is dealt KcJd

Hero raises to 40

Villian reraises to 165

Hero calls 125

Flop KdQdTh

Villian bets 220

Hero calls 220

Turn Qs (770)

Villian bets 420

Hero calls 420

River Ad (completing the flush draw)

Villians is all in for 1234

Hero ?

Can we ever fold in this spot? We are not in the top of our range, since we can have both flushes and boats here. It also does not feel like villian should be bluffing alot in this spot and i think he should be checking alot of his jacks here. However, if we are folding this river should we not be folding the turn?

If I assign him a range of QQ+, AJ,AQ,KQ,KJ,TT, 11 suited trash (T2 etc) and j5+j4o we have 29% eqt versus that range on the river. We need 30% to break even on a call. Is this just a whatever cooler? I usually play 5-10, so that might cloud my judgement a little...

Thoughts are much appreciated!

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