HU - Butchered 3bet Pot?

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HU - Butchered 3bet Pot?

Villain's stats:

# of Hands = 1,300

SB Steal = 71

Fold to 3bet = 60

Fold to cbet in 3bet pot = 35 

Bet turn vs missed cbet in 3bet pot IP = 78


IPoker, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 2 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (BB): $202 (101 bb)
SB: $957.92 (479 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Qd 3d
SB raises to $4, Hero raises to $14, SB calls $10

Flop: ($28) Kh 2c 9s (2 players)
Hero bets $14, SB calls $14

Turn: ($56) Qh (2 players)
Hero checks, SB bets $36, Hero calls $36

River: ($128) 8d (2 players)
Hero checks, SB bets $893.92 and is all-in, Hero calls $138 and is all-in



In retrospect, I think I could have misplayed every street.


How would you play each street and what is your reasoning for each decision?


5 Comments

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UpUpAndAway 11 years, 2 months ago

I think the PF 3bet is fine given villain's highish fold to 3bet for heads up.

K92r with no BDFD is a flop that I would much rather check/fold since you have little to no equity when called and there are few to no good turn cards for your hand to improve on. It's also a board where villain should have a pair or GS a lot of the time meaning a flop cbet/turn check-fold is pretty bad.

As played on the flop, the turn is close but I lean towards a check/fold since, even though villain folds to cbets only 1/3 of the time in 3bet pots, most of his hands that weren't pure floats have no improved. The board could get much worse for your hand on the river and villain is very likely to barrel off with his occassional pure float give your line so you are almost committing your stack with the turn check/call.

modernbuddha 11 years, 2 months ago

"...most of his hands that weren't pure floats have no improved."  Don't you mean that most of his hands that weren't pure floats have improved? Hence, we should fold? 

UpUpAndAway 11 years, 2 months ago
Don't you mean that most of his hands that weren't pure floats have improved? Hence, we should fold?

Yes, this is exactly what I meant. Sorry for the typo.

Quietly 11 years, 2 months ago

My personal preference is to not 3b this particular hand at any significant frequency vs a 71% opener.  Nevertheless once done you have a profitable flop cbet vs his range on that board.  I think you have to c/f the turn.  

TheRedWind 11 years, 2 months ago

I think pf is fine.

I x/f flop since he's not folding much. As played you have to call turn, then eval river based on how you expect him to play Kx. Against a villain who bets Kx only once (either turn or riv), then I'm def x/c riv too, esp if he barrels off frequently when our range looks as capped as it does here. There just aren't enough value hands he can have that play this fast

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