How would you play? 50NL Zone

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How would you play? 50NL Zone

Hero in CO with AQss $70 behind
Villain in BB $145 behind
Folds to Hero raises to $1.5
Folds to Villain who 3b to $5.75
Hero calls
Flop ($11.75) 78Qhhh
Villain bets $11.75
Hero?? about 65 behind

Spoiler:
I raised to $34 and we giin otf

3 Comments

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Tyler Forrester 10 years, 5 months ago

I'd suggest downloading an equity calculator.

Villain Range: QQ+,AQs+,KQs,AQo,KQo,AhKd,AhKs,AhKc,AsKh,AcKh,AhJh,AhTh,KhJh,JdJh,JhJs,JhJc,TdTh,ThTs,ThTc,AdKh

Our equity: 44.05%

We need 46% to get in on this flop. This is basically the best case scenario for AQs here. It includes 3 stone cold bluffs, all the combos of KQ, and only 3 flushes.

Worst case is probably range of "QQ+,AhKd,AhKs,AhKc,AhJh,AhTh,KhJh,AhKh". We have 18% against that range.

To summarize Best case 44%. Worst Case 18%. Need 46% to stack or lots of fold equity.

Call or fold flop.

sweet16 10 years, 5 months ago

You should ask yourself what villains range is when he 3b and cbet, what your range is for raising. You got both much stronger hands and weaker ones (hands that are not good enought o call but got blockers/eq) so it's quite weird why you would want to raise this unless you want to raise/fold like your entire range which is bad ofc. And why you would want to raise this. Once you do I think it's quite clear that it doesn't makes much sense to raise.

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