how to play 77 in this 3-bet pot (dry board)

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how to play 77 in this 3-bet pot (dry board)

BB: $101.50
UTG: $100
HJ: $43.65
CO: $115.13 (Hero)
BN: $125.66
SB: $100.50
Preflop ($1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 7
UTG folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to $3, BN folds, SB folds, BB raises to $10.50, Hero calls $7.50
I think this call is no problem.
Flop ($22.50) K K K (2 Players)
BB bets $10.50, Hero calls $10.50
If I raise, I think I cannot represent any strong hand.
Turn ($43.50) K K K 5 (2 Players)
BB bets $20.50, Hero calls $20.50
maybe I should min-raise here. I called two streets, I think my range is face up. like AQ, AJ, 22-99.
River ($84.50) K K K 5 3 (2 Players)
BB bets $60, and is all in, Hero folds
villain is a reg at NL100, his 3-bet at BB: 6.8%. VPIP: 26, PFR: 21, 3.6k hands.
AA, QQ-88, AKs, KQs is 3.32% of all hands. So his value range is 50% (3.32%/6.8%).
when he shove the river, the pot is $143, I just need call $60. I need 42% equity.
So, I feel I should call.
But I think fold is equal to call.
sorry for my poor english!

thanks
Final Pot
BB wins $80.70

7 Comments

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cold7betfold 12 years ago
This is just a terrible board for him to bluff, so I don't expect him to be light here at all, so I would just give up on the turn.
WM2K 12 years ago
I think you need to reconsider your call preflop. What kind of range do you think he is 3 betting preflop? How do you do vs that range and how well is 77 going to play postflop vs that range? What kind of price are you getting and do you have enough implied odds?

Once your on the flop I would raise 0% of my range here. This kind of board just crushes villains big pocket pair, AK, maybe KQ kind of range. Even AQ is a ok hand here as A high is going to be best OTF a good % of the time and its drawing quite live vs a low pair.

OTT he is probably not joking enough to call again. Even if he is semi bluffing something like AQ or AJ or idk QJ you can t really call especially as your going to see a river bet a very large % of the time.
imSiankO 12 years ago
your call pre is a mistake.. you're not really deep enough to setmine, so unless you have a very strong solid read on villain that makes you think that you're going to be able to turn your hand into a bluff often enough for you to show a profit, you shouldn't be calling his 3bet, it's just not profitable.
You outlined it yourself that his 3betting range from that position is only around 50%, that means that IF you hit a set on a wet flop and that you have to raise to prevent a scarecard from killing your action, out of all of those hands he's going to have to fold at least 50%, then if you had the times that his decent made hands still won't be strong enough to go broke with you on the flop, you fall even lower than that. The only times you should setmine 100bb deep with medium/small pocket pairs in 3Bet pots are against nitty 3betters AND preferably if you're in position, the only other time that you should consider it is when you open EP/MP and get 3betted by someone that is going to have only premiums against you're tight opening range from those positions

goranbaxy 12 years ago
I see that you keep repeating that your plan is to raise flop but it turns out that this flop is not good for you. You should not have a plan on what to do on the flop before it even comes.

You need to know what is your calling range in this spot preflop, and if you only have 77-TT from PP, and you would call flop and turn with some other cards (AQ, AJ maybe) I think that you need to call with all of your PP. if you fold 77 here, what is your calling range? only TT?
BigFiszh 12 years ago
My calling-range preflop would probably start with TT (maybe even JJ) against this guy. I don´t see any advantage in calling 88 or 99 but fold 77? It´s not as if he´s 3-betting with 88 in this spot.

As far as your "plan" for the flop goes - what the hell are you repping when calling a 3-bet pre and minraising the flop in position? What are favorable flops you intent to minraise (and take it down?)? What makes this plan even worse imho, is that you´re drawing to 2 outs once you get called, so I simply don´t understand your reasoning at all.

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