How far to take exploitable stats?
Posted by Chael Sonnen
Posted by Chael Sonnen posted in Mid Stakes
How far to take exploitable stats?
Example: I was just in the BB holding 75s and the SB opened slightly over the minimum (about 4.18).
He's been opening 92% of SBs over a large sample, and folding to 3-bets 80% of the time, and he's got low 4-bet stats.
So this is pretty much the perfect opponent to be going crazy against with 3-bets, assuming he doesn't adjust.
On the other hand, 75s has solid playabilty post-flop, and I'm getting a fantastic price.
Flatting is for sure +EV, and 3-betting is profitable under the circumstances I mentioned.
So how should I approach these spots? Go for maximum exploitation, until I feel my opponents start adjusting, or simply play what would be a fairly standard game, and exploit just enough, so Villian doesn't really feel the need to change his game, while still exploiting him a bit.
My plan is probably to 3-bet a slightly more polarized range, which should be fairly bluff heavy.
Thoughts?
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