How do we win this hand?

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How do we win this hand?

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BB: $5.77
UTG: $9.63 (Hero)
MP: $6.07
CO: $3.34
BN: $5.50
SB: $7.41
436 hh with BB, he's a regular. Stats: 24/19 with AF 1.3.
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is UTG with A Q
Hero raises to $0.15, 4 folds, BB calls $0.10
Flop ($0.32) K 5 9
BB checks, Hero checks
He has a fold to Flop Cbet of 50. I don't like cbetting when I don't hit anything.
Turn ($0.32) K 5 9 T
BB bets $0.20, Hero raises to $0.61, BB calls $0.41
His probe bet is 50. I like to raise this turn because we picked up a gutshot. Is this a mistake?
River ($1.54) K 5 9 T 4
BB checks, Hero checks
Could we win this hand at this point, could we make him fold KQ/KJ? Should we need to overbet this river?
Final Pot BB wins and shows a pair of Kings.
BB wins $1.46
Rake is $0.08

Thank you in advance.

6 Comments

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Freenachos 6 years, 9 months ago

Flop might be a rangebet, not too sure. This is fine either as well. If you're going to raise all gutshots on turn you're going to overbluff, since you probably only have 3 value combo's. You do have close to bottom of your range, i think i fold turn.

alpharebel 6 years, 9 months ago

I would bet that flop most of the time. BB checks to UTG, got to bet. I think you need to change how you think about a cbet, We might not hit but they wont either. UTG has a range advantage on BB

a_zuzolo 6 years, 9 months ago

I agree with both of the above comments. I would definitely be cbetting this flop more times than not, and possibly close to 100%.

And as freenachos said, you may be over-bluffing this turn spot if you raise with most/all gutshots.

I think the only real value hands that consistently check back that flop and then raise river would be TT and some T9s ?

I think most KT and QJ would bet the flop.

And obviously all of your semi-bluffs miss on this river, so it would be quite ambitious to try to get him to fold top pair + here.

pokernemo10 6 years, 9 months ago

Neah, just check back river. He will sometimes have some random hearts that you win against.
But my question is do we still Cbet if it is BU vs BB instead of UTG vs BB. That range advantage is not so big in this situation.

radtupperware 6 years, 9 months ago

Could we win this hand at this point, could we make him fold KQ/KJ? Should we need to overbet this river?

Not if he has KQ or KJ. No way he's folding this river. I think it's important to not be in the mindset that you should "win" every hand. Sometimes, your opponent just has it.

OMGxSkillzZ 6 years, 9 months ago

Thank you guys.

I probably (and even PT4 says "you need to improve") have a massive leak on cbetting the flop. I will post a thread in the forum in a moment, asking for some advices.

Any sort of help is kindly appreciated.

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