Hard Spot (Squeeze pot)
Posted by colombian20
Posted by
colombian20
posted in
Low Stakes
Hard Spot (Squeeze pot)
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players)
BN: $25.32
SB: $17.60
BB: $28.49
UTG: $13.75
MP: $16.41 (Hero)
CO: $26.95
SB: $17.60
BB: $28.49
UTG: $13.75
MP: $16.41 (Hero)
CO: $26.95
Preflop
($0.24)
Hero is MP with
Q
Q
, , , , ,
Flop
($4.56)
8
7
J
, ,
Turn
($8.38)
8
7
J
2
, ,
River
($15.42)
8
7
J
2
T
,
Squeezer stats: 32/24 968 hands. 3bet: 9.9 WTSD 33 W$SD: 39 WWSF: 44
What do you think of this hand? his sizings are weird and i really dont see a shove OTR with AA or KK prob AKcc dont know, JJ doesnt squeeze IMO ... really confused, please help.
Loading 15 Comments...
how about 3bet in CO?
He can bluff AK and not much else. Folding is fine and the safe play here, but I could make a case for calling if the opponent is non-thinking/spewy and would bet some pairs, sets, etc at a small frequency. There are only a few strategies this is winning a little against and many strategies it is loosing a lot against.
QQ with a club is much closer.
Fold is fine. You have plenty of better hands to defend here with.
Fold is ok. Why not 3-bet pre vs UTG, specially given that he is probably a fish?
I'm not advocating this play, but I'm just wondering what you guys think about c/shoving the turn here. Not blocking his fds might make this an option?
I was thinking this too at first but his range is too strong and we would be likely isolating our self. Has to be -EV play
It is very easy to simulate situations that go All-inn on earlier streets, but the difficulty part is comparing it to the EV of calling.
well said!
Let's say he sqzes with this range with probably some freq :
TT+, AQ+, AXs, 65s-T9s.
Let's say he CBets FDs and OESDs as a bluff on the flop and turn, and for value JJ+, 87s(Doubles), T9s(straight), AJs (3c)
OTR you're so dead because many of his bluffs connected the river, FD and some 98s, A9s.
Besides that you should consider make an exploitive fold if you think he doesn't barrel enough OTR, other wise I'd rather defend Jx and 9x, because I think you would get there with some FD as well.
Meh sad folding the river, but I would 3bet pre at a 100% frequency most likely. I would even consider 4-betting over the squeez, he seems to be quite active pre and he won't give you much credit for having a hand after just calling the utg open pre.
+1 pre flop comment. But I wouldn't 3bet 100%, but definitely a high freq. I'm saying this because there's a lot of nitty preflop guys on the field.
my experience at 16NL specifically is, that people are quite crazy pre - but my sample on that stake isent too big (like 10-20k hands) - but yes I agree you dont have to 3bet at a 100% freq
Def fold OTR:
well played until river..club draws like QKcc,JQcc,AKcc,AQcc,AJcc get there + u are not holding Qc at all...
In general i have two plans with an aggro sqzer..
1) 4bet on his sqz ( history should play a role here ) but it's an obvious move and u reveal ur range cheaply
2) call pre and x/calldown safe runouts ( Non Axx, Kxx etc ) [preferable]
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