full house 200bb deep vs rock
Posted by Sansei
Posted by
Sansei
posted in
Low Stakes
full house 200bb deep vs rock
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (9 Players)
BN: $50.00
SB: $50.75
BB: $50.00
UTG: $116.43 (Hero)
UTG+1: $50.00
MP: $157.39
MP+1: $86.02
MP+2: $71.26
CO: $95.00
SB: $50.75
BB: $50.00
UTG: $116.43 (Hero)
UTG+1: $50.00
MP: $157.39
MP+1: $86.02
MP+2: $71.26
CO: $95.00
villian is 5/2 in 50 hands....
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is UTG with
Q
A
, , , , ,
Flop
($5.75)
9
Q
T
, , ,
Turn
($12.89)
9
Q
T
T
, ,
River
($28.89)
9
Q
T
T
Q
,
loose value but letting him check behind 3 combos of 99, or getting ourselves exposed to shove and had to fold Q?
Final Pot
UTG
wins and shows a full house, Queens full of Tens.
UTG wins $27.59
Rake is $1.30
UTG wins $27.59
Rake is $1.30
Loading 6 Comments...
Ts and crazy draws are betting OTT after XC you OTF maybe and I dont see the point of doing it with a very strong hand/"999TT" (99).. but yeah, maybe if the enemy bets OTT after XCing OTF, can do it either with "99" but..
I can't see many hands trying to bluff in this spot OTR.
Maybe its better for "Hero" to bet OTR?
VPIP of 5 in 50 hands in fullring doesnt tell you as much as you think, i dont mind the river check because you are rarely bluffing in this spot and can strenghten your river x/call or x/raising range.The x/call OTT pretty much gives your hand away (or do you x/call with KJ here?), so leading would always cause villain to have some pretty easy exploitative folding spots.
are you saying that I should lead that turn? Will I not get bluff raised ? mmmhh...I didn't think about that
No, i dont say leading turn is better but when you decide to x/call turn, you should keep it consistent, underrep the hand and hope he v-bets worse or (more likely) bluffs. In this spot, you dont need to be a genius hand reader but calling turn and leading this river screams Queeeeennnzzz.
so at least I played it consistently
unless SB is a huge fish, I'd go into xC mode on the flop, our hand is not that strong here (given our perceived range and his probable range) and there is no value to be had from regs.
As played I think that the turn is pretty easy xF, what exactly do we beat? AJ, that he might either fold preflop, or follow through otr or bink (and we lose either way). We have 2 good outs.
As played check river, betting is insane.
Checking the turn with KJ is not that bad btw.
I also think that vpip 5 over 50 hands tells us plenty, but I might be wrong here. I'd guess that his vpip is <13% within 95% confidence interval, but thats just me blindly shooting.
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