Folding Deep 50NL Zoom 6Max

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Folding Deep 50NL Zoom 6Max

BN: $54.26
SB: $61.01
BB: $50
UTG: $136.55 (Hero)
HJ: $129.33
CO: $68.19
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 7
Hero raises to $1.50, HJ calls $1.50, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Flop ($3.75) 7 J T (2 Players)
Hero bets $2.50, HJ raises to $9.50, Hero calls $7
Turn ($22.75) 7 J T 6 (2 Players)
Hero checks, HJ bets $19.50, Hero folds
Final Pot
HJ wins $21.73

He is 22/18/af2.8/3bet8.7  234 hands 

His stats looks almost exactly like mine in session of 1k hands.

Thoughts?

3 Comments

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RaoulFlush 10 years, 11 months ago

Sounds nitty but i guess folding is fine

Most ppl would float AK and AQ otf flop i guess

Given positions both ranges are pretty strong anywas

So i guess there is KQ and some 78s exlusively for bluffing, while both players have all nutty hands in theire ranges

Duttywinee 10 years, 11 months ago

If we give our opponent a standard IP flat list of: 
QQ-66, AJs+, KJs+, QJs, JTs, AQo+
7c7d on this flop versus opponents suspected range is 78.70%.
Hands that could potentially raise are any gutshot [AK,AQ,88,99], OESD [KQs], sets [JJ,TT], two pair[JTs] and overpair [QQ]. 

Assumption 1.0: opponent raises all gutshots as a bluff, overpairs, two pair, and sets for value, flat or folds everything else. 
77 flop equity: 74.93%
77 Turn equity when opponent barrels all flop bluffs: 80%.

Assumption 1.1: opponent raises all gutshots as a bluff, overpairs, and sets for value, flat or folds everything else. 
77 flop equity: 74.93%
77 Turn equity when opponents barrels half of all flop bluffs: 71.92%
^[QQ, JhJs, JhJc, JsJc, TdTh, TdTc, ThTc, AQs+, JhTh, JcTc, AhKd, AsKd, AsKh, AcKd, AcKh, AcKs]

Assumption 2.0. opponent raises only suited broadway gutshots with backdoor FD as a bluff, and sets, 2pr for value, flat or folds everything else. 
77 flop equity: 49.21%
^[JhJs, JhJc, JsJc, TdTh, TdTc, ThTc, AdKd, AhKh, AsKs, AdQd, AhQh, AsQs, JhTh, JcTc]
77 Turn equity when opponent barrels all flop bluffs: 49.03%

Assumption 2.1. opponent raises only suited broadway gutshots with backdoor FD as a bluff, and sets, 2pr for value, flat or folds everything else. 
77 flop equity: 49.21%
77 turn equity when opponent gives up all unimproved bluff equity on turn: 35%. 
^[JhJs, JhJc, JsJc, TdTh, TdTc, ThTc, AsKs, AsQs, JhTh, JcTc]

Conclusion. Equity varies dramatically depending on the bluff tendencies of opponent. 

Feel free to draw your own conclusions as you have the history with the player. 





Duttywinee 10 years, 11 months ago

PokerStars Hand #114721935817:  Hold'em No Limit ($200/$400 USD) - 2014/04/13 16:44:53 WET [2014/04/13 11:44:53 ET]

Table 'Menelaus IV' 6-max Seat #1 is the button

Seat 1: Lottenice ($60876.85 in chips) 

Seat 2: Trueteller ($52091.25 in chips) 

Seat 3: Aron0621 ($47672.50 in chips) 

Seat 4: 26071985 ($61390 in chips) 

Seat 5: forhayley ($46775 in chips) 

Seat 6: Ike Haxton ($27921 in chips) 

Trueteller: posts small blind $200

Aron0621: posts big blind $400

*** HOLE CARDS ***

26071985: raises $500 to $900

forhayley: calls $900

Ike Haxton: folds 

Lottenice: folds 

Trueteller: folds 

Aron0621: calls $500

*** FLOP *** [Qs 8c Kh]

Aron0621: checks 

26071985: bets $1600

forhayley: calls $1600

Aron0621: folds 

*** TURN *** [Qs 8c Kh] [7c]

26071985: checks 

forhayley: bets $4388.40

26071985: raises $8611.60 to $13000

forhayley: calls $8611.60

*** RIVER *** [Qs 8c Kh 7c] [6h]

26071985: checks 

forhayley: bets $16400

26071985: raises $29490 to $45890 and is all-in

forhayley: calls $14875 and is all-in

Uncalled bet ($14615) returned to 26071985

*** SHOW DOWN ***

26071985: shows [Ks Kc] (three of a kind, Kings)

forhayley: shows [Qc Qh] (three of a kind, Queens)

26071985 collected $94645 from pot

*** SUMMARY ***

Total pot $94650 | Rake $5 

Board [Qs 8c Kh 7c 6h]

Seat 1: Lottenice (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)

Seat 2: Trueteller (small blind) folded before Flop

Seat 3: Aron0621 (big blind) folded on the Flop

Seat 4: 26071985 showed [Ks Kc] and won ($94645) with three of a kind, Kings

Seat 5: forhayley showed [Qc Qh] and lost with three of a kind, Queens

Seat 6: Ike Haxton folded before Flop (didn't bet)


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