Fold a flopped set?
Posted by Chael Sonnen
Posted by
Chael Sonnen
posted in
Mid Stakes
Fold a flopped set?
BN: african07781: $263.32
SB: wave261: $48.25
BB: IntenseDawg: $554.78
UTG: mysterio6044: $265.68
HJ: nailuj90: $228.90
CO: Hero: $200
SB: wave261: $48.25
BB: IntenseDawg: $554.78
UTG: mysterio6044: $265.68
HJ: nailuj90: $228.90
CO: Hero: $200
Villian is a moderately aggressive with a 92% c-bet, but my HUD may be failing here.
Preflop
($3.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
7
7
mysterio6044 raises to $4, nailuj90 folds, Hero calls $4, african07781 folds, wave261 calls $3, IntenseDawg folds
mysterio6044 raises to $4, nailuj90 folds, Hero calls $4, african07781 folds, wave261 calls $3, IntenseDawg folds
Standard flat
Flop
($14.00)
A
J
7
(3 Players)
wave261 checks,
mysterio6044 bets $9.36,
Hero calls $9.36,
wave261 raises to $44.25, and is all in,
mysterio6044 raises to $79.14
I'd usuall raise here to protect from draws and because I credibly rep them, but I want the BB to jam here.
But then he clicks it back, which I'm not sure he'd do with a big draw, or even AK.
Thoughts?
But then he clicks it back, which I'm not sure he'd do with a big draw, or even AK.
Thoughts?
Loading 8 Comments...
Vs a generous range of just AJo, AJs, JJ & AA we still have around 50% equity, and then if we throw in a few combos of huge draws then it's never a fold. Also the dead money in the pot..
I'm never folding here.
Suprise. :)
I did jam it in and he tank-folded, so he probably had AK.
It´s actually threatening and I understand your thought process, but I don´t think you can fold this.
hmm,i got another question here,is calling or jamming more +ev? I think calling here lets him bet another street on a blank with the huge draws like Ax of spades or AK of spades,but jamming might fold out those huge draws i think.
but the problem with calling is you might have to call AI/shove on any turn except Ax or Jx,but you will realize your equity more than 100% of the time if your opponent is known to shove on any turn.
Damn it,i answered my own question >:( .Calling is more profitable on this spot because you might more realize than your equity on any turn except Ax or Jx .if opponent is known to shove any turn
I think there is no need to fold:)
Range distribution and you can manipulate your own weights.
Guy wo x/raised doesn't have anything better than you have. And you are not that likely to hit that flop extremely well, so mysterio could go lighter.
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