Flush facing river x/r
Posted by Tom Willetts
Posted by Tom Willetts posted in Low Stakes
Flush facing river x/r
SB: $36.18
BB: $12.88
UTG: $10.06 (Hero)
MP: $3.42
CO: $10.00
Played 33 hands with villain, seems like he could be a reg, he's from Greece (in case that influences anyone's decision - I didn't look until after). He went into the time bank before calling turn and didn't before raising river.
My turn betting range vs BB here will be pretty strong as I expect him to peel a lot of suited cards etc and fold anything worse than Jx without a diamond, so I can't value bet much wider than AQ, plus I have a lot of Jx and some weaker pairs to protect so I went for a larger sizing.
On river I can still get value from Qx and smaller flushes and I can have lots of better hands here so I think I should bet bigger.
Once he raises I think his range is [22, 33, Q2s, Q3s, QJ, JJ, Axdd maybe] for value and if he has bluffs these will probably be hands like AdKx, AdTx, AdJx. I tend to think when people x/r river they are generally underbluffing though.
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