Flopped top 2, bad runout

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Flopped top 2, bad runout

BB: Hero: 177.74
UTG: UTG: 112.02
HJ: MP: 169.64
CO: CO: 133.24
BN: BTN: 124.50
SB: SB: 126.82
Preflop (1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 8 9
UTG folds, MP folds, CO folds, BTN raises to 4, SB folds, Hero calls 3
Flop (8.50) 8 9 5 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 4.24, Hero raises to 14.84, BTN calls 10.60
Turn (38.18) J (2 Players)
Hero bets 30, BTN calls 30
River (98.18) K (2 Players)
Hero bets 128.90, BTN calls 75.66

Didn't have many hands on villain, but seemed pretty loose so far and could potentially be a fish. 35/16 and pretty low aggression. As played, river is preeeettttyyyy thin but I don't really see a better way to play it than to ship. The plan was to x/f any flush card or 4 straight.


This runout is not the best, as a few of the hands we are trying to get value from (overpairs) just became sets, namely JJ and KK and villain can have a lot of 2pairs himself. On this river I probably expect a fishy villain to call with AA, maybe QQ, and some Kx FDs that binked TP OTR. Don't think he has many sets in his range otf, or straights. On a board with so many draws it's likely that villain won't slowplay. Is the river ship too thin? Should I be x/folding?

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