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Flopped set, line check

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Flopped set, line check

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) SB: $5.00
BB: $4.53
UTG: $5.00
MP: $5.45 (Hero)
CO: $4.42
BN: $5.06
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is MP with J J
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.15, CO folds, BN raises to $0.45, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.30
Flop ($0.97) J Q 3
Hero checks, BN bets $0.48, Hero calls $0.48
Turn ($1.93) J Q 3 9
Hero checks, BN bets $0.90, Hero calls $0.90
River ($3.73) J Q 3 9 Q
Hero checks, BN checks

Villain was 37/24 after 44 hands, no other info. I'm not sure that my line was max value so would like to ask for advice.
I decided I don't need protection on the flop. I block some of his FD, I don't expect him to 3-bet KTo that often, the only reasonable stronger draw would be T9s and I want to keep his Qx. Are those correct assumption? Turn was not so good so I decided to just x/call and on the river I hoped he will bet for a c/raise. Thanks.

5 Comments

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akissv7 5 years, 8 months ago

The flop in kinda wet flush draws (you block clubs though) and straight draws are possible so I might either bet out or check-raise (to ~1.15) on this type of board as villain can put you on a draw and call with KQ or AQ or be on a draw himself and even call with AK. Your OOP so you want to take control and try to get all the money in the pot.

Turn same story as on the flop but now villain can have a made flush so check raising is less appealing.

River would check and pray villain bets with a missed draw or as a bluff.

Jeff_ 5 years, 8 months ago

on the flop both merits for raising or calling (having Jc I'm more inclined to call). Any Jc draw he has, he will play for stacks, so blocking it isn't perfect for raising. As well as good to have strong hand to call down.
Turn - call should be best
On the river I belive we suppose to be checking range but vs rec players I'm onboard with donkshoving vs flushes and Qx/ KT. Weak players will check back strong hands pretty often, and rarely fire off triple bluff here

belrio42 5 years, 8 months ago

I would 4-bet pre with JJ in a MP vs BTN situation. Villain looks fairly LAG, which means that his 3-bet range is likely wider.

As played, flop looks fine. Turn as well.

On river, you can lead, because he will check back with a large part of his range. You can get calls from overpairs and Qx.

DNegs98 5 years, 8 months ago

So I think people are missing just how good that river card is for you and just how many bluff catchers villain now has that you can't give a cheap showdown to. When you call twice here you're essentially repping KQ+. On that river the bottom of your range is pretty much trips (maybe you have TT w/ Tc or J9s which are worse) so I think you should develop a leading range here and you should be jamming at a minimum your boats here. You've got 8 combos of boats on this river (3 of JJ, 3 of 99, and 2 QJs) and you're jamming for roughly pot so you need 4 combos of bluffs to be balance, TcTx + J9s makes 5 so pick 4 from them and you're sorted. This really doesn't make your checking range that vulnerable either as you have plenty of flushes and trips to call down with that villain really can't go nuts by overbluffing this spot.

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