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Flop the nuts, fold the river?? | Z5

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Flop the nuts, fold the river?? | Z5

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $4.93
SB: $5.19
BB: $17.24 (Hero)
UTG: $3.29
MP: $7.32
CO: $5.00
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BB with Q T
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.15, CO calls $0.15, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.10
MP is 24/16 over 298 hands. CO is 36/19 over 189 hands.
Flop ($0.47) J K A
Hero checks, MP bets $0.18, CO calls $0.18, Hero raises to $0.42, MP calls $0.24, CO calls $0.24
When the CO just calls both the raise and my re-raise I figured he wouldn't have stuff like JJ or AJo, KJo since he would probably want to "protect" his hand against all sort of bad turns the might come.
In my mind MP has something like AQs and CO has some sort of draw.
Turn ($1.73) J K A 5
Hero checks, MP checks, CO checks
Not sure if I should have checked it here. Probably should've protected my hand against some Kc Qc that they may have.
River ($1.73) J K A 5 J
Hero bets $1.08, MP calls $1.08, CO raises to $4.43 and is all in, Hero calls $3.35, MP folds
OTR I tried to get some value from the CO since he had QJ and JT in his range, even though we have a Q and a T blocking those hands (only 6 combos each). Im not too scared about MP since he probably either as AT or AQ.
When the CO shoves I still think he can have QJ or JT but can he really have KcQc? Maybe even a full house (KJ or AJ) that played passively ?
What would you do?

2 Comments

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frontdoorbackdoor 6 years, 6 months ago

Would raise the flop bigger. Its also not a board where you will want to do a lot of raising in general but I can get on board as CO looks like a rec from those stats. Definitely would be betting this turn, there's a lot of 2pair and Ax that will call you and you have the Tc which reduces some flush combos. River isnt great and he has like no bluffs here so would just fold vs shove.

Jeff_ 6 years, 6 months ago

you don't like money do you? such a small raise otf, we can have bluffs(FD) to raise this flops and should be doing raising with QT always. It is nl5 after all, get value and win big.
Turn I don't care so much, we don't have 2 streets value so checking or betting is reasonable. And river would go smaller, aroud 40-50% to get call by some AQ or other pair of Aces.

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