Facing river overbet with trips, BvB
Posted by Hoothoot
Posted by
Hoothoot
posted in
Low Stakes
Facing river overbet with trips, BvB
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players)
BN: $55.44
SB: $151.38
BB: $90.40 (Hero)
UTG: $55.36
MP: $56.59
CO: $55.50
SB: $151.38
BB: $90.40 (Hero)
UTG: $55.36
MP: $56.59
CO: $55.50
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is BB with
T
A
, ,
Could 3bet here, but opted to flat IP given how deep we are.
Flop
($3.00)
T
Q
J
,
Turn
($3.00)
T
Q
J
2
,
Overbet is a bit worrisome, but still calling since I have a draw, and can't fold to a single c-bet.
River
($11.00)
T
Q
J
2
T
Villain SNAP overbets. Tough spot because on the one hand I block broadway and some FHs, but on the other hand I also block the bricked nut FD. It feels like villain is trying to ram through value with something like QQ, JJ, or maybe AK. The fact that he snap overbet makes me lean toward a fold. Thoughts?
Loading 6 Comments...
snap call. Rages are wide bvb not considering fold vs any type player
I agree I think this is a snap call. You block AK and I think BvB villain attacks you a lot on the turn after you check back the flop and cap your range. Id expect to see a lot of diamond draws or Kx in villains range.
You are 70/30 dog (rake not considered) at like TT+, AK, K9s KT, T9. I think AA and KK will pull something like this sometimes. I also think we need to have 98s in his range here. Against value only you don't have equity to call. With this much value, he has to have some bluffs. I think the bluffs are going to make this a pretty easy call to be honest.
I think the snap overbet is the biggest thing to consider here though. That is usually indicative of strength. It's tough for him to have worse trips than me since he overbet the turn as well. I suppose KT and T9s could do that, but not often. In other words, I'm looking to beat pure bluffs with which villain overbet twice.
In general, when you beat some value hands in addition to bluffs, you should call. Villain can easily be betting worse trips, or maybe some sort of two pair/ trapped AA/KK.
You will often be beat here, but you only need about 35% equity to call.
Snap call according PokerSnowie +2.05$ EV (so you loose more then you win if villain plays GTO but still it is a call).
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