Facing overbet jam squeeze, 10nl

Posted by

Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Facing overbet jam squeeze, 10nl

What do I call off against this? QQ+, AKs+ ? The guy didn't seem to be tilting. I have no idea what his range is here...No HUD, this WSOP.com

4 Comments

Loading 4 Comments...

RaoulFlush 4 years, 3 months ago

I guess sticking to QQ+\AK (also offsuit) is fine if we want to keep the variance low.
But given the fact that i see ppl play 99-TT sometimes this way and the fact that he is only 73bb deep, i guess calling off is also ok.

RaoulFlush 4 years, 3 months ago

I took a closer look at this spot as i felt kind of unsure myself. I guess from an "exploitive" standpoint, my advise makes sense.

From a mathematical standpoint this gets complicated:
We need about 46% Equity for a call (which is quite much)

But vs a range of QQ+/AK, we only get the odds to call this with KK+ (57%)
QQ: 40%
JJ: 36%

So even if Villain adds 99/TT to this range, JJ only has 43% (QQ: 52%)

So the real question is: Would Villain be playing KK/AA this way?
If not, this becomes a call with TT already (47% vs 99-QQ/AK)

So maybe simplifying and just calling this with QQ+/AK is solid (also for mental game purposes) as we might get tilted here quickly

Be the first to add a comment

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy