Facing a river raise with top 2
Posted by RunItTw1ce
Posted by
RunItTw1ce
posted in
Low Stakes
Facing a river raise with top 2
50NL ignition - zone (no reads)
I found this spot pretty interesting, I was actually considering shoving for thin value. Found wizard is using 2/3 sizing on the turn, but it prefers a block bet 20% pot on the river. Not sure why it wants to block bet over a more normal sizing. Then when facing a raise wizard is folding over 60% of the time. This was pretty surprising to me, seems like a pure call to me. Not sure if I'm being too much of a station on the river?
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I guess im calling this as well usually.
What is a BU flatting pre and OTT that is now really nutted? Basically the straight only.
I see ppl overplaying weaker 2p here too often to consider folding here. Seems like im a station as well :)
Well its a pure bluffcatch. Because BU range is pretty tight, you need a pretty tight range yourself to value bet river. I don't think any 1 pair hand is value betting river for this sizing. This means that V's raising range is repping an even tighter value region. Like KT especifically (I think vs MP QQ is a pure 3bet on BU). So he's repping KT for value and then will have JT and QT type hands as bluffs. This hand will just be 0 ev most likely given there doesn't seem to be any hand in your range that has incredibly good blockers (hands that block KT end up also blocking bluffs).
Was thinking villain could have T9s, TT, QT, AT that turns into bluffs. The only value I see in his range would be AQ KTs. I think 55 99 JX all bet the flop. Then I'm holding Ad, so don't think he can turn a hand like Ad5d into a bluff blocking aces up.
I know pool under bluffs at this node, just don't see many hands he would over play either that checks the flop maybe A9s? Very odd spot to me.
What does he have?
KTd
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