Facing a river donk AI from tricky opponent
Posted by guljo
Posted by guljo posted in Low Stakes
Facing a river donk AI from tricky opponent
BB: BB: $20.22
UTG: UTG: $24.97
HJ: MP: $52.15
CO: Hero: $20
BN: BTN: $35.01
SB: SB: $27.84
UTG: UTG: $24.97
HJ: MP: $52.15
CO: Hero: $20
BN: BTN: $35.01
SB: SB: $27.84
Villain was causing me a lot of problems in this session, he plays tricky and in my eyes very good.
stats: 21/18/9 1,3k hands
I have a note on him that pot sized bet was strong hand OTR, but he should be balancing this with bluffs.
Another note is a river push AI with a missed draw, but I wrote this note after this hand took place.
stats: 21/18/9 1,3k hands
I have a note on him that pot sized bet was strong hand OTR, but he should be balancing this with bluffs.
Another note is a river push AI with a missed draw, but I wrote this note after this hand took place.
Preflop
($0.30)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
A
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.60, Hero raises to $1.60, BTN folds, SB folds, BB folds, MP calls $1
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.60, Hero raises to $1.60, BTN folds, SB folds, BB folds, MP calls $1
HJ RFI 15%
Flop
($3.50)
A
2
2
(2 Players)
MP checks,
Hero bets $2.10,
MP calls $2.10
Turn
($7.70)
5
(2 Players)
MP checks,
Hero bets $4.62,
MP calls $4.62
River
($16.94)
3
(2 Players)
MP bets $43.83, and is all in
I don't see many bluffs in his range here, only if he is turning JJ into bluff???? He can expect me check back on this river a lot. So if he made a flush with Axss it is best for him to donk. There is a small possibility he holds AA.
I need to be good more than 29%. Should I just close my eyes and click call and write a note later? I just hate it when he turns over the nuts and there is a voice in my head "I knew it"
I appreciate your thoughts.
I need to be good more than 29%. Should I just close my eyes and click call and write a note later? I just hate it when he turns over the nuts and there is a voice in my head "I knew it"
I appreciate your thoughts.
Loading 10 Comments...
The river is a fold, it's suicidal for him to bluff there.
this is a clear call for me i dont see any hand in his range that bat us her besides AKss and AQss and u are definetly on the top of ur ange here ur have 2 be good her at least 50% of the time Dont see him having A5 or A3 here. the only hand that beats us are 22 AA and AKss AQss thats 4 combinations maybe AJss but thats it. And he overbets huge but thats not the effective stacks! that makes it look more bluffy i would definetly call her
I think Hero only has like $12 left on river so his over bet doesn't really count except to shove him in but I'm saying that's suicidal because no one is gonna fold any Ace at that point.
what do u think villains rainge is her? i think most of the time we chop here there is no logical had that beats us.
+ATss, that's probably what he has.
we need 2 be good like 30 % of the time here u think he has a backdoor flush more than 70% here? does he really get his backdoor flushes that often?
OK, the pot odds is good, you call and I fold, how's that? The draw is 25 to one.
didnt want 2 call u out carl was not my intention i just think we are at least 30% good here thats why i call... obviously fold is ok as well
I think it really depends of your image, if he think you are not able to vb an A river, then you should fold and if he know you like to click fold, then you should call, but it need some kind of historic enter you too and need him to see and exploit the leak.
Overall, even from reg, I don't see much donk riverbluff when a flush hit but it happens sometime so I want to call some hands and basically I would just call all AA (OH REALLY) and all AsKx because I block all the nuts flush, it's unlikely he has another flush or full. That's where I don't agree with you Freakymo, I don't think we are at the tom of our range. I would say top in order = AA, AKss, AsKx, others AK.
If it was in a blinds vs button situation I'd be more keen to call here, but when villain opens from mp I think your 3bet range (usually) is more narrow. Very unlikely in villains eyes that you'd bet JJ or QQ 2 streets in this situation ip. You'll also be checking back the weaker suited aces for pot control a decent amount of the time OTT I would think in villains eyes, so your range should be pretty defined to very strong AQ-AK and AA and the occasional bluff 2 barrel - which probably made a flush on the river? I think it's somewhat significant what your stats are. If you are the type that 3bets a lot I wouldn't exclude villain can call your 3bet wider and float his suited Broadway's in case he has some flushes as well, plus in that case you could both have all the suited aces that have 2 (better) pairs or boat.
But if you are not going crazy 3betting mp and I was in villain shoes I would def have AK in my flatting range and I would take the line villain takes 100 % of the time with AK+, expecting you to almost always check back AK or worse and bet A3s+ for value, and since I'd never probably fold AK here except if I have a very special read, I prefer to shove it and give villain a tough spot if he has AK, AQ or worse, otherwise it's very easy for you to play perfectly against me on the river.
If his call 3bet stat is not too crazy and he doesn't float wide in 3bet pots I'd say most likely his holding here would be AK, AA, 22 and the occasional 55 and QsKs float. Vs that range you have less than 30% equity. I do agree with Carl here, if villain's a good player this is a spot he would know he's gonna be loosing money trying to bluff you at. I think AK is one of his most likely holdings, but even so you're calling for a chop at best. It's probably not a GTO fold, but exploitively I can't see him bluffing here and I wouldn't like it but I'd probably fold :/
Be the first to add a comment