EV Formula Limp Stab

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EV Formula Limp Stab

im looking at some toygame where we are headsup in the sb. when we limp and get iso we lose the hand. when we cbet and get called we lose the hand
is the ev formula for the limpstabtoygame 1,2 or 3. im not sure
1.) EV (limpstab) = (DontIso x (FvCbet x 1.5BB + CallvCbet x -1.5BB)) + (Iso x -0.5BB)
2.) EV (limpstab) = (DontIso x (FvCbet x 1.5BB + CallvCbet x -1.5BB)) + (Iso x -1.5BB)
3.) EV (limpstab) = (DontIso x (FvCbet x 2BB + CallvCbet x -2BB)) + (Iso x -2BB)
and then if ive got the right formula and put some numbers in, every number unter -0.5bb is a +ev play,
cause folding is always -0.5bb, right?

4 Comments

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Shaun Pauwels 4 years, 4 months ago

Neither of these are correct.
The end part should at least be Iso x -1BB. As we lose a total of 1BB when we get isolated, not 0.5. This makes complete sense given we are comparing to -0.5 when we openfold.

ASAP1Z2 4 years, 4 months ago

So this is the right one?
EV (limpstab) = (DontIso x (FvCbet x 2BB + CallvCbet x -2BB)) + (Iso x -1BB)

As an example
Iso 30%
Fold2cbetwert 60%

(0.7 x (0.6 x 1.5BB + 0.4 x -1.5BB)) + (0.3 x -1BB) = -0.44
So our move would be making 0.06BB more compared to folding.
cheers

Shaun Pauwels 4 years, 4 months ago

When he folds to your cbet you win 1BB. When you get called you lose 2BB.

EV (limpstab) = (DontIso x (FvCbet x 1BB + CallvCbet x -2BB)) + (Iso x -1BB)

ASAP1Z2 4 years, 4 months ago

but doesnt change anyhting when i plug in the numbers again, still -0.44
but guess the last post is now the final right formula and i can start putting in some numbers for some rough estimations

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