Enough evidence for a exploitative fold to V's push on turn?
Posted by Frankie Carson
Posted by
Frankie Carson
posted in
Low Stakes
Enough evidence for a exploitative fold to V's push on turn?
Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (9 Players)
CO: $98.50
BN: $82.52
SB: $166.38
BB: $157.33
UTG: $100.00 (Hero)
UTG+1: $99.50
MP: $197.95
MP+1: $106.40
MP+2: $117.24
BN: $82.52
SB: $166.38
BB: $157.33
UTG: $100.00 (Hero)
UTG+1: $99.50
MP: $197.95
MP+1: $106.40
MP+2: $117.24
Preflop
($1.50)
Hero is UTG with
J
J
, , ,
Flop
($7.50)
4
9
T
,
Turn
($18.00)
4
9
T
6
,
So in a Pio world, not blocking the flush this is likely a call. However, given two factoids can we exploitatively fold here?
1) V's aggression frequency is quite low at 29%. VPIP/PFR is normal, however, (for 9max at least) around 18/9. Sample only 100 hands, so weighting to this factor low, but still noteworthy.
2) I can say with 100% confidence that players in this pool do not generally play close to GTO. The old adage against generally straightforward/subpar players is a turn raise to aggression from PFR is almost always nutted. I believe this is called the Baluga theorm...whatever...eyeroll ha.
Is this enough info to make the fold? Or should we just be sigh calling off? Thanks guys/gals.
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