Easy River Fold?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Easy River Fold?

MP stats over 500 hands
VPIP 52
PFR 27
3bet 11
F3bet 52
River aggression Factor 2.87

VS this sizing I don't think we can fold river. We need to be good here 20% of time

I think I'm folding vs a Jam

6 Comments

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RaoulFlush 2 years, 6 months ago

Looks like an easy river call tbh…not sure about a jam, but villain looks fairly splashy and could overplay Qx or spew a club even for a bigger sizinh.
However: i guess OTF i would be betting smaller. Villain still has a decent amount of 1-club-combos in his range and so i would not bloat the pot here already…wouldnt be suprised if solvers check some of the time even…

i-hate-soup 2 years, 6 months ago

Hey thanks for the feedback Raoul. I agree with you about the flop from a theory perspective. We should be betting 1/3 and mixing in some checks. Its not a board we can go nuts on. But Vs this guy I think sizing up for value makes sense and when I am
bluffing him I would be using 1/3 sizing. This opponent is not adjusting to me.

Gino Song 2 years, 6 months ago

this guys vpip is through the room so i am never folding here and snap calling a jam

im also considering value jamming river yourself because this player is definitely NOT polarized with his turn raises so he is going to show up with tons of worst hands here

HawksWin 2 years, 5 months ago

Not in love with the squeeze size pre. MP is a fish. UTG is a fish. Assumptions made based on MP stats and UTG stack depth. I am playing for stacks all day long vs UTG fish. Would go 12 to 13bb.

As played, flop typically going smaller than 1/2 pot. I get your argument that he sucks but mono boards.........

Turn, the raise here sucks but not folding. Still has high one club cards in hand and also has top pair + high club in his range here.

Calling river for that price. Not in love with shoving.

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