Dry board, Overpair river...Set or nothing spot
Posted by fiveplus5is55
Posted by fiveplus5is55 posted in Mid Stakes
Dry board, Overpair river...Set or nothing spot
Blinds: $2.00/$4.00 (5 Players)
UTG: Heinrich_le: $400.00 (Hero)
CO: OMDlituanie: $518.94
BN: THOMSIN: $400.00
SB: Real.FR: $494.50
BB: MrNasriMaco: $460.38
CO: OMDlituanie: $518.94
BN: THOMSIN: $400.00
SB: Real.FR: $494.50
BB: MrNasriMaco: $460.38
Preflop
($6.00)
Heinrich_le is UTG with
A
A
, , , ,
CO is reg, very low flat % overall: On Co after 59 hands 0, and Mp 4% and btn 9%, but very high 3bet on those positions, above 12% Mp,CO and Btn. I saw him squeeze A2s once, and 3bet 44 vs semireg deeper CO.
Flop
($34.12)
T
2
5
, , ,
Turn
($76.22)
T
2
5
2
,
River
($172.86)
T
2
5
2
Q
,
So, how do we construct our range here, bet/x/f flop and turn mixed strategy with bet/ and some x/c and x/f?
We are so far ahead with our range , that we run risk into overvalueing hands like jj,qq by barreling them.
i feel villain does not flat 55,22 here, also he might 3bet QQ most likely (13% on co, 3bet). Is it enough to defend just our trips or better on the river?
even though AA=55 most likely in terms of relative hand strength. what would be possible hands for him to bluff here?
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