Double checking my thought process RE range splitting and exploitability on later streets
Posted by Yaphet-Kotto
Posted by Yaphet-Kotto posted in Mid Stakes
Double checking my thought process RE range splitting and exploitability on later streets
Recently I've been using Snowie to better understand flop cbetting ranges in single-raised pots in HU matches. I've run into a problem on the board AsTs7c. On this particular flop, the button is cbetting 45.8% of his PF opening range, including EVERY combination of 2-card flush draw.
My question is: what happens to Snowie's strategy on later streets if his flop checking range NEVER has a 2-card flush draw in it? 1/3rd of the time the flush card will hit, and if his opponent knows he can never have a flush, Snowie will be extremely vulnerable to overbets (basically, his opponent can make huge bets with any flush and most two pairs knowing he is very rarely beat).
Am I missing something? It seems highly exploitable to split your range in such a way that you can never have a nut hand on 1/3rd of river run outs.
Thanks for any input.
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