donking turn 3way NL100

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

donking turn 3way NL100

Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (6 Players) BN: $213.17
SB: $106.39 (Hero)
BB: $60.36
UTG: $110.44
MP: $102.08
CO: $106.74
Preflop ($1.50) Hero is SB with 7 7
UTG folds, MP raises to $3.00, CO folds, BN calls $3.00, Hero calls $2.50, BB calls $2.00
pretty standard. Opener is a 18/13/4.2 reg. He goes to showdown pretty often and wins 49% at SD, however he cbets 54% OTF and his W$WSF is pretty low (40). BN is a nitfish /19/4/2.1 and bb i have no sample on but he has 100% VP so far and he is not fullstacked so i assume he's a fish too.
Flop ($12.00) 7 4 J
Hero checks, BB checks, MP bets $6.00, BN folds, Hero calls $6.00, BB calls $6.00
perfect flop obv. not a lot of draws and my hand crushes pretty much every range of every player. When Opener Cbets into a 4way pot his range is pretty obv: JJ+, QJ,KJ,AJ,JTs (he opens 15% from MP so this is pretty much it). BBs range should be wider, something like 56,68,58,A7,A4,Aj,Jx, maybe even 7x (which i block).
Turn ($30.00) 7 4 J 2
Hero
in this spot i think it is a nice spot to lead ~2/3 pot. Why do I think this? Well first of all i expect opener to call almost 100% here. His high WTSD shows that he is not very likely to fold toppair +. Next is i dont want to give BB freecards if he draws, and opener checks behind. X/r maybe looks to strong here on this kind of board texture and turns my cards face up. next thing is, i have only one potsize bet left and can jam the river. If no flush arrives (and no other draw like 56) i think villain will call almost 100% OTR. What do you think about donking in this spot?

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