donking turn 3way NL100
Posted by KaiPhone
Posted by KaiPhone posted in Low Stakes
donking turn 3way NL100
Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (6 Players)
BN: $213.17
SB: $106.39 (Hero)
BB: $60.36
UTG: $110.44
MP: $102.08
CO: $106.74
SB: $106.39 (Hero)
BB: $60.36
UTG: $110.44
MP: $102.08
CO: $106.74
Preflop
($1.50)
Hero is SB with
7
7
, , , , ,
pretty standard. Opener is a 18/13/4.2 reg. He goes to showdown pretty often and wins 49% at SD, however he cbets 54% OTF and his W$WSF is pretty low (40). BN is a nitfish /19/4/2.1 and bb i have no sample on but he has 100% VP so far and he is not fullstacked so i assume he's a fish too.
Flop
($12.00)
7
4
J
, , , , ,
perfect flop obv. not a lot of draws and my hand crushes pretty much every range of every player. When Opener Cbets into a 4way pot his range is pretty obv: JJ+, QJ,KJ,AJ,JTs (he opens 15% from MP so this is pretty much it). BBs range should be wider, something like 56,68,58,A7,A4,Aj,Jx, maybe even 7x (which i block).
Turn
($30.00)
7
4
J
2
in this spot i think it is a nice spot to lead ~2/3 pot. Why do I think this? Well first of all i expect opener to call almost 100% here. His high WTSD shows that he is not very likely to fold toppair +. Next is i dont want to give BB freecards if he draws, and opener checks behind. X/r maybe looks to strong here on this kind of board texture and turns my cards face up. next thing is, i have only one potsize bet left and can jam the river. If no flush arrives (and no other draw like 56) i think villain will call almost 100% OTR. What do you think about donking in this spot?
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