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Donking river with missed draw NL10z

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Donking river with missed draw NL10z

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $10.56
SB: $10.64 (Hero)
BB: $33.66
UTG: $10.49
MP: $17.46
CO: $10.00
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is SB with 9 J
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, BB calls $0.20
Flop ($0.60) 8 K 5
Hero bets $0.29, BB calls $0.29
Turn ($1.18) 8 K 5 T
Hero bets $0.88, BB raises to $2.40, Hero calls $1.52
River ($5.98) 8 K 5 T T
Hero bets $4.20, BB

Villain was playing straight forward, folding a lot to 3 bet, cbets, rivers. Thats why I c bet, maybe i should bet 2/3. On the turn great card to multi barrel. When i get raised i stlill got decent prize (25% equity) but i wanted abuse fact that i have much more flashes than him and i wanted donk comlepted FD on the river if I miss my draw, Should I give up on this pairing river? KT,88,55 not folding, on the other hand he has K8,K5 which have not fun spot, What do you think on this spot? Especially with idea of donking FD?

5 Comments

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NothingVentured 6 years, 7 months ago

You’re going to cbet this flop a ton, but if you’re betting J9s here then your cbet is frequentcy is prolly too high. Good candidate for a check/fold range.

As played, turn cbet seems good but it’s an fold as calling to get his stack later isn’t awesome at 100bb effective stacks.

He’s basically repping KT here or maybe ATs. You block most of the SD combos. Either way, the second T is a bad card for you to in that spot as his range is pretty narrow.

piownu 6 years, 7 months ago

Why it's a fold? What if u would have a set? Would u call mine donk shove on FD? Do you think vilalin have a lot of FD in range? Can u extended?

JRthekid32 6 years, 7 months ago

I agree with probably check/folding flop. If we are cbetting this hand, with no BDFD and only a bad BDSD, we are cbetting nearly 100% range which I don't think we are allowed to do here.

I also agree with folding turn. At these stakes, there are very few people that you have "massive fold equity" against in any spot. Assuming that they will fold a set when you donk 3flush river is very optimistic. Your plan should be based mainly around value, with bluffs as a backup, rather than planning for bluffs and having value as back up.

On the river that pairs the T, I would definitely just give up. I really don't think he waits to raise the turn with K5 or K8 often. Either the T helped him (KT) and that's why he raised turn, he was slow playing a set on the flop, or the T gave him some kind of combo draw and now he has a flush.

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