Do i turn my river set into bluff (shove) or do i check=>call/fold? Wet board runout

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Do i turn my river set into bluff (shove) or do i check=>call/fold? Wet board runout

BN: $55.86
SB: $50 (Hero)
BB: $216.38
UTG: $50.76
HJ: $50
CO: $23.80
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 3 3
UTG folds, HJ raises to $1.50, CO folds, BN folds, Hero calls $1.25, BB folds
Flop ($3.50) T J 3 (2 Players)
Hero checks, HJ bets $2.50, Hero raises to $7.75, HJ calls $5.25
Flop check raise is normal i think, maybe my sizing was a bit to small but i wanted to make it look like i did have some bluff/semibluffs,draws in my range so i made it a little smaller.
Turn ($19.00) T J 3 6 (2 Players)
Hero bets $11, HJ calls $11
On the turn i decided to keep the agression up and bet to keep the flush in my range while perhaps drawing to a river full house. Is this play/thinking good here?
River ($41.00) T J 3 6 K (2 Players)
Hero bets $29.75, and is all in, HJ calls $29.75, and is all in
The river also brings in a possible straight, i was thinking about either check folding here because a big part of the villains range has me beat or turning my hand into a bluff and try and let the villain fold almost everything that loses against a flush (sets, 2pairs, maybe straights,naked high diamond,...). I don't think check calling and trying to blufcatch makes sense here or would it?
Final Pot
Hero has 3 3 HJ has Q K HJ wins $98

4 Comments

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taaazz 10 years, 7 months ago

I fold this PF. I try not to do too much calling @ SB. I think that if you're calling w/ any PP there, you end up with a wide/weak range that is a perfect target for a SQZ. And if not, the BB might overcall with a wide range, and you end up OOP/without initiative/with a face up range and a hand that has a terrible playability. 

As played, I think that leading might also be fine - I don't expect the PFR to stab this board 3way particularly often, and I don't want to give free equity to 2 sets of hands on such a drawy board. But from a range perspective, XR might be better (most of your draws has plenty of equity/very few hands w/ marginal SDv/can credibly rep a value range here), so I'm fine either way, personally leaning towards XR.

I like the turn bet - we're defenitely ahead of his range. I don't really like XC as he's probably gonna call us w/ hands that might XB otherwise. I'd also prefer to avoid a guessing game otr.

I think the R is a XF, though. I don't really like turning our hand into a bluff as you have plenty of SDv against his XB range. If Villain is capable of turning his SDv into a bluff here, I guess we could XC, but I expect him to XB with a part of his range that we beat most of the time.

Jonas Smailys 10 years, 7 months ago

Pre should be a fold esp. vs a 3x open. Unless you've got stone solid reads on his plays (which you almost never do) or BB is like a >60% vpip with a very low PFR whale.

Turn bet is kinda meh but I guess it can be fine. C/folding river for sure though - he's just never ever calling with a worse hand... 

RaoulFlush 10 years, 6 months ago

IMO you should also consider villlains range on this board before you start bluffing....villain BC a somewhat drawheavy board and calls turn again when the FD gets there....OTR basically everything gets and i would expect villains range to be pretty strong here...Def would need some blockers to even think about bluffing this IMO

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