Do i have the outs?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Do i have the outs?

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $8.95 (Hero)
SB: $19.66
BB: $7.10
UTG: $5.52
MP: $4.53
CO: $5.68
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BN with 7 A
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.15, CO folds, Hero calls $0.15, 2 folds
Flop ($0.37) 8 J 9
MP bets $0.25, Hero raises to $0.50, MP raises to $4.38 and is all in, Hero calls $3.88
Turn ($9.13) 8 J 9 A
River ($9.13) 8 J 9 A 4
Final Pot BN wins and shows a pair of Aces.
MP lost and shows a pair of Queens.
BN wins $8.75
Rake is $0.38

I thought he had an overpair, with more emphasis on QQ KK because of my blocker. This meant that alongside the flush draw, an ace could be good, as could a ten in some cases. It was a very tough call for me, i was calling 3.88 into 5.25 so need 42% equity. I now see i had around that exactly (slightly reduced as the villain held a spade). The fact that this could have maybe been a weird bluff with maybe an OESD or AK pushed me over the edge.

Was i right to call?

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