Do I have implied odds..?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Do I have implied odds..?

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (9 Players) BN: $6.06
SB: $36.50
BB: $25.00
UTG: $25.00
UTG+1: $25.00
MP: $33.41
MP+1: $57.63
MP+2: $47.58
CO: $32.67 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is CO with 9 T
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls $0.25, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1.00, 2 folds, BB calls $0.75, UTG+1 raises to $4.00, Hero calls $3.00, BB folds
Flop ($9.10) 2 J 8
UTG+1 bets $3.00, Hero calls $3.00
Turn ($15.10) 2 J 8 8
UTG+1 bets $7.25, Hero calls $7.25
River ($29.60) 2 J 8 8 5
UTG+1 bets $10.75 and is all in, Hero folds
Final Pot UTG+1 wins $28.27
Rake is $1.33

didn't like my call PF and OTT but I'm not sure if it's really bad.
This guy is very passive, PFR: 29. He thought a lot this time to limp EP, he was thinking about raising, I guess. I was putting him on a big pair. OTT it's clear for me I don't have implied odds to call, I was going to bluff if another J comes though.

7 Comments

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Will Winaton 10 years, 3 months ago

Yea I don't like the pre call. This should be KK+ for value by him, and I'm not sure that he's balanced. His 3bet sizing is way too big for us to call. How many hands do you have on him btw?
Turn is certainly a fold. Or... maybe your turn call is not that bad, if we always stack him when we hit. But in the best case scenario its EV is still similar to folding.

Betman 10 years, 3 months ago

about 100 hands.
I made some math for the turn, we'd need about at least 21% to call if we have hhs remaining stack OTR whenever a Q or a 9 appears. We have less than 18 and there is also a chance he doesn't stack river plus the small chance he has JJ, QQ.... seems clearly -EV

stills 10 years, 3 months ago

Fold pre.
As played jam flop and hope we has AK.

MP2 59.88% 59.88% 0.00% JJ+, AKs, AKo
MP3 40.12% 40.12% 0.00% Tc9c

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