If say we're drawing to a flush and we have 9 outs, but the board is paired, is there any rule of thumb or guide to use in order to get a more accurate picture of our equity?
I ask because it's very easy in game to be all optimistic about my 9 outs, and implied odds on top, but if there's a chance I'm dead already, or if some portion of my outs give me a dead made hand then not only do I not have the odds to call but also I can suffer very bad reverse implied odds at a time when the pot is large and my newly made hand is very hard to get away from.
How do you handle this RIO?