Range analysis 240bb deep
Posted by DannyBtotheG
Posted by DannyBtotheG posted in Low Stakes
Range analysis 240bb deep
SB: $26.93
BB: $25.95
UTG: $60.00
MP: $31.73
CO: $56.95
Rake is $1.64
Hi guys.
Just had this spot which got me wondering if I totally murdered this turn.
Villain: No reads or prior history with villain.
Pre-flop: I think T9s functions as a really good 3b 250bb eff since it has a lot of good implied equity and is quite playable on a lot of different flop textures. Some might argue that it's too loose 3b BTN v UTG, but I like to play on the more aggresive style. Let me know if you think this is -EV.
Flop: I think this flop hits my range pretty hard. We have all AK, KK, JJ as well as AQdd, KQs, low frequency KQo and some AJs as well as AQo, ATo which still has nutted equity. With my particular hand I see no reason to not go for a bet and choose my standard 33%. I could use some input as well on why another bet sizing would make sense of if this is is the best (most simplified) betting strategy for these boards.
For villains range I suppose he has ocassional AKs/o which he elects to flat pre, KQs, JJ and maybe some 66. If you compare the equity advantage on this board for BTN v UTG I think BTN would come out on top.
Turn: I think this card is ok for our range, definitely doesn't shift the equity favor into villains hands nor does villain make a lot of nutted hands here. He does have some JJ which he floated flop with or a very rare KJss type hand. However we still have AK, KK, KQ, which should be beating the majority of villains range. I went for the 150% pot bet representing AA, AK, KK AQdd and other nuttish draws like my hand in particular. I don't think villain can call many hands here. His calling range should look something like 2p+ or AQdd. Villain elects to jam and I fold.
So my question is: am I totally off on the range advantages that I assume in this hand?
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