Did Doug Polk overplay his hand here?
Posted by GameTheory
Posted by GameTheory posted in High Stakes
Did Doug Polk overplay his hand here?
Action:
Preflop Doug straddles to 200 with 65o
Justin raises to 600, Doug calls
Flop:
Justin cbets 700 on 9d3hQd and Doug raises to 2350?
Turn 3s goes check, check
River:
Ad falls, Doug slightly overbet to 6450 and Justin calls.
Link to video: Doug Polk Makes a $6000 Overbet on a Scary River vs Justin ♠ Live at the Bike!
Preflop is loose by Doug. But on the flop he goes crazy, he has so many gutshots, backdoor hearts, hands with one overcard, or even 45/42 have better backdoor potential. It is hard to come up with a hand that is worse than 65o on this board. Doug literally always advocates folding the bottom of your range to a reasonably sized bet, so what is he doing here. Was Doug on tilt?
Turn check seems reasonable. As played, river is a good spot to bluff since he has a diamond blocker but he doesn't block any straightdraw.
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It's alternative GTO. Perfectly legit.
Maybe he just needed footage for his YouTube channel.
Reverse holdem is the game.
Why didn't Doug 3-bet preflop then? He was way ahead.
As in regular holdem, you usually wanna 3bet with strong hands and add in some bluffs to balance, but I am fine with trapping pre as well as long as you can exploit your opponents tendencies postflop.
Dougs fashion game > poker game in that match!
I like the leather jacket / Bazam / watch combo. Certainly a better combo than 65o as bluff combo. :D
Other guy was huge nit though
Betting middle pair on such a drawy board isn't very nitty. Neither is calling a checkraise with it.
When your opponent does indeed bet rather merged, x/raising more frequently can put him in tough spots and probably win money when your range is reasonable connected. Not that 65o ever fits in a x/r range here, but thats probably what incentivices Doug Polk to do what he did. We also cannot say what Justin would have done if he had T9 here.
how does xring put a good tight opponent who bets merged in a tough spot when he'll have more pair hands that he can call down with? Doug's line does seem bluffy. the river bet does put Justin in a tough spot just from the sizing but Justin may just see this as polarized.
@unknown, it becomes inherently tougher to call down with 2nd pair the more bets go in. Also, even tough line may appear bluffy, good or even average players have enough value on later streets as they play their draws like this. Note that the Ad completes a flush, so the semibluffs hit. A reasonable bluff here would be JT or T8.
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