Crazy spot vs Reg
Posted by Pokerlogical
Posted by Pokerlogical posted in Low Stakes
Crazy spot vs Reg
MP+1: $0.74
CO: $0.75
BN: $2.27
SB: $2.04
BB: $2.94 (Hero)
UTG: $3.15
UTG+1: $4.83
BB wins and shows a full house, Fours full of Deuces.
BB wins $1.67
Rake is $0.06
Opponent was 19/16 over 90 hands
Ok I know I messed up.
Should have just went all-in on the river but this guy looked solid, so I was skeptical if he may slowplay a set on the flop.
But he minraised so we can discount QQ preflop, he checked the flop, can discount a lot of QQ, he checked the turn, now we can again discount a lot of QQ.
I can give him on the river 1 combo of 99 and 0,3 combos of 22 and maybe 0,5 combo of QQ but then he has those overplayed A high flushes, although that makes no fkin sense against my raising range there but I have to give him at least 5 missplayed Ace high flushes so I have a clear valueshove on the river.
Any thought or suggestions?
Is my analysis correct and I missplayed that river or is it good to play it cautiously?
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