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Crazy spot vs Reg

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Crazy spot vs Reg

Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (8 Players) MP: $1.63
MP+1: $0.74
CO: $0.75
BN: $2.27
SB: $2.04
BB: $2.94 (Hero)
UTG: $3.15
UTG+1: $4.83
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is BB with 4 4
2 folds, MP raises to $0.04, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.02
Flop ($0.09) Q 2 9
Hero checks, MP checks
Turn ($0.09) Q 2 9 2
Hero checks, MP checks
River ($0.09) Q 2 9 2 4
Hero checks, MP bets $0.16, Hero raises to $0.46, MP raises to $0.82, Hero calls $0.36
Final Pot MP lost and shows a flush, Ace high.
BB wins and shows a full house, Fours full of Deuces.
BB wins $1.67
Rake is $0.06

Opponent was 19/16 over 90 hands

Ok I know I messed up.
Should have just went all-in on the river but this guy looked solid, so I was skeptical if he may slowplay a set on the flop.

But he minraised so we can discount QQ preflop, he checked the flop, can discount a lot of QQ, he checked the turn, now we can again discount a lot of QQ.

I can give him on the river 1 combo of 99 and 0,3 combos of 22 and maybe 0,5 combo of QQ but then he has those overplayed A high flushes, although that makes no fkin sense against my raising range there but I have to give him at least 5 missplayed Ace high flushes so I have a clear valueshove on the river.

Any thought or suggestions?

Is my analysis correct and I missplayed that river or is it good to play it cautiously?

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