C/R flop as PFR - How to play turn and river?
Posted by CreativeLine
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CreativeLine
posted in
Low Stakes
C/R flop as PFR - How to play turn and river?
Seat 2 is the button
Seat 1: Player1 ( $100.00 USD ) - VPIP: 17, PFR: 13, 3B: 8, AF: 2.0, Hands: 206
Seat 2: Player2 ( $260.63 USD ) - VPIP: 30, PFR: 19, 3B: 3, AF: 1.4, Hands: 467
Seat 4: Player4 ( $260.09 USD ) - VPIP: 49, PFR: 21, 3B: 6, AF: 1.5, Hands: 307
Seat 6: Player6 ( $102.96 USD ) - VPIP: 30, PFR: 23, 3B: 9, AF: 3.0, Hands: 240
Seat 7: Hero ( $151.26 USD ) - VPIP: 23, PFR: 18, 3B: 7, AF: 3.4, Hands: 85442
Seat 9: Player9 ( $132.68 USD ) - VPIP: 39, PFR: 19, 3B: 7, AF: 1.4, Hands: 72
Player4 posts small blind [$0.50 USD].
Player6 posts big blind [$1.00 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ Tc Kc ]
Hero raises [$3.50 USD]
Player9 folds
Player1 folds
Player2 calls [$3.50 USD]
Player4 folds
Player6 folds
** Dealing Flop ** [ 3c, 9c, 8h ]
Hero checks
Player2 bets [$6.37 USD]
Hero raises [$24.00 USD]
Player2 calls [$17.63 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Kh ]
Hero bets [$28.00 USD]
Player2 calls [$28.00 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ Qd ]
Hero checks
Player2 bets [$61.00 USD]
Hero?
On the turn I bet smallish to make it look like I was pricing in my draw hoping to possibly induce a shove or keep hands in the pot that I have crushed with hopes he makes a river mistake. Also sets up stacks nicely for the river. On the river I feel like he has more bluffs than usual in his range since the turn was so drawy I expect him to be shipping most of his 2 pairs and sets that didn't shove the flop. On the river we have enough equity to c/c vs his missed flush draws and some other combo draws that didn't improve on the flop and turn. The question is would he bluff this small? I guess he could be thinking that almost any bet is big enough to fold out my air.
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Flop xr is ok to mix it up. I generally employ a more polarized xr range here, but this is fine. I would just bet huge on the K turn expecting to be good so often and building a pot for what is an impending river jam.
This river is tough spot on this card (probably one of the worst), but I think once you check its probably just a check-fold. There really aren't that many missed draws without a pair that will want to bluff. Since you are UTG, I expect his range to be much tighter and thus not include all that many airy FD combos.
It's also possible a river value bet is the best option...
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