Confused vs ADZ124
Posted by depresnyak
Posted by
depresnyak
posted in
Mid Stakes
Confused vs ADZ124
PokerStars Zoom Hand #90521520876: Hold'em No Limit ($2.50/$5.00) - 2012/12/10 3:49:08 MSK [2012/12/09 18:49:08 ET]
Table 'Lambda Velorum' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: kosseg ($756.40 in chips)
Seat 2: HERO ($577.66 in chips)
Seat 3: ADZ124 ($636.96 in chips)
Seat 4: Old Saxon ($133.04 in chips)
Seat 5: fish&ch1ps ($678.20 in chips)
Seat 6: madmanco6 ($303.30 in chips)
JohnSmith: posts small blind $2.50
ADZ124: posts big blind $5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO [Ac Ad]
Old Saxon: folds
fish&ch1ps: folds
madmanco6: folds
kosseg: folds
HERO: raises $12.50 to $17.50
ADZ124: calls $12.50
*** FLOP *** [4c Ts 2s]
HERO: bets $23.39
ADZ124: calls $23.39
*** TURN *** [4c Ts 2s] [Qc]
HERO: bets $59.28
ADZ124: raises $536.79 to $596.07 and is all-in
When I try to post new hand history, it says to me "Invalid hand".
About 480 for me to call.
Anyway, back to the hand. Villain runs 29/22/12 in 400 hands sample. 64 fold to c-bet. Don't have any significant history vs him. I am not an NL-player so tell me which relevant info I should add.
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So, what do you think is important in making a decision in this spot? Can you think of a reasonable range for your opponent where calling is better than folding? Folding better than calling? What would you be thinking about when trying to figure out how likely those ideas are?
What could you could change about the hand (hand/stack size/board/timing/history/anything else...) that would make this an easy decision for you either way?
I've been playing some 2/5nl zoom and I haven't seen this before. So I'm just going to tell you my instinct without too much experience: I'm calling with the top two sets, and possibly top two pair. (I think top two is much better than third and fourth set in this spot because of greater likelyhood of someone having the absolute nuts with these lines going for messed up value and that it plays similarly vs if he has like KJs.)
Disagree with this as he's pretty much always 3 betting 1010 and QQ preflop whereas he probably wouldn't with 22 and 44.
1- if he called the turn and you bet a blank river again
2- if he raised turn to like 180~ and you pushed all in.
And what you could do if he took the option two ?
You might say he could get this line with his sets to adjust it but i dont really think Zoom is a place for those deceiving moves.
So how close you find yourself answering question "2" by i am going all in" or other options that you would like to get in ... you are more confident calling this one imo.
I think he almost never has a set here and even if he does, I'm content with the fact that even if I'm calling here, he's winning far less money from me than he should with set vs. range here in the long run.
I expect his range to basically be a lot of 2pr hands that we have 18% equity against and big combo draws that we'll have 66%+ against as well as the odd really strange jam with a hand that we're 90% against (maybe some super weirdly played KK/AQ..).
I PokerStoved a very generous range of {QT/Q4s/Q2s, super-strong draws} and we're 40%. I think we're definitely going to get close if not climb of 50% once we add some weightings to some looser draws and especially so if he's ever doing this for value with KK/AQ as some sort of spazzy zoom FPS.
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