Co AJs vs BB squeeze
Posted by Treysix
Posted by
Treysix
posted in
Low Stakes
Co AJs vs BB squeeze
SB: $7.81
BB: $19.11
UTG: $15.52
MP: $9.47
CO: $21.21 (Hero)
Rake is $0.37
Played vs 24/20, 16% 3bet (22 squeeze), cbet after 3bet 87%, aggro barreling player. Cbet 60+% on every street.
Preflop and flop is obvious imo.
I don't like that sizing increase on the turn, seems quite strong but I guess I should still call down to the river unless some shit like Jc,Qc etc comes right? If I fold this hand I will get punished for overfolding as this hand is on the top of my range along with AQ and JTs while I have lots of folds with pocket pairs, missed suited connectors etc.
Shall I counter these aggro players by calling with monsters preflop instead of 4betting? I mean hands like JJ+ and AK in this spot. Aggro player like this might have huge fold to 4bet anyway and we will have stronger range postflop vs his aggro lines and it will be easier to play as we won't be pushed to make marginal calls with not very strong hands..
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If villain 3 bets 16% and then barrels 87% and 60% and 60% means that villain is going to the 3 barrel about 0.160.870.60*0.60 ~ 5% of hands which is in the end not that much. Think in this particular situation with AKQ which hit him very hard folding AJ on the turn is actually close but ok as villain can have a lot of two pair and better.
As villain 3 bets so many hands a counter play is to 4 bet villain lighter but be aware that it is a high variance play and if you don not encounter this type of villains enough it is difficult for you to know if they play back at 4 bets or not by e.g. light 5 betting.
Ye, I folded mainly cause of that flop structure that favors villains range heavily. That count of what range he actually barrels is useful, didn't think about it this way, it's true that it isn't so wide range even if he barrels with this frequency especially on board like this that hits him pretty well. Would be different if he barrels this frequently on boards that doesn't hit him well so he overbluffs..
fine
I don't even think this is an exploitative fold I think this is just a board that we get crushed on and have to fold some fairly strong holdings. Flop we definitely don't want to defend MDF because we're just so crushed by villains range so we get to the turn with a very strong range and can actually get to MDF by just calling 2 pair+ in this spot along with some maybe QdJd and QdTd because even against a range with no bluffs they still have 27% equity
yeah youre range is capped he has all sets, all 2 pairs - its very hard to come up with bluffs for his range in this board - the sizing increase is most likely a 2 pair+/made straight trying to get you off a flush draw - I just dont think he has enough bluffs here to profitably call an almost pot bet here - good as played
Board is just really good for squuezer so i think we can get away with some big folds. In addition to that, in my experience most players 3bet/sqz too tight from the BB and on this board i think that he is supposed to barrel hands like JQs TQs at a somewhat high frequency(correct me if Im wrong) wich is provably not common unless he is really skilled.
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