CO 88 against 11% 3Bet SB (LAG) Q99 Flop
Posted by aizen
Posted by aizen posted in Low Stakes
CO 88 against 11% 3Bet SB (LAG) Q99 Flop
SB: $12.67 (126.7 bb)
VPIP:27 PFR:20 AF:2.3 3Bet SB: 11%, Continuation Bet 3Bet Pot: 60% Turn: 65%
BB: $10.85 (108.5 bb)
MP: $18.43 (184.3 bb)
Hero (CO): $10 (100 bb)
BTN: $10 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with 8 8
MP folds, Hero raises to $0.30, BTN folds, SB raises to $0.92, BB folds, Hero calls $0.62
Flop: ($1.94) 9 Q 9 (2 players)
SB bets $1.45, Hero calls $1.45
Turn: ($4.84) 4 (2 players)
SB bets $3.63, Hero calls $3.63
River: ($12.10) 5 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
Is it good to call preflop here? Yes I have Position and an "okay" Hand but how can I play it profitable?
I mean I have like 2 outs to hit to get a set. Or I have to hit an Board which consists of cards lower than 9x so I have an equity advantage.
Even if I hit a Board with like 998 Villain can cbet and hope to improve on the turn (every highcard like Tx is good for his range and bad for my) 24 Outs * 4 -> 48% Equity. So if I want to play 88 this way i need to get it in on the Flop to get him to fold or charge a high price for his outs.
Or I can play it as Bluffcatcher Hand which I did on this Flop.
I thought about his 3Betting Range is something like this: AA-66,AKo-AJo,KQo,AKs-ATs,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs,T9s,98s
First I thought he don't have to many Q's in his range however he Flopzilla proves me wrong:
So 58/122 Combos this means half of the time he won't hit the flop. So I called hoping that he didn't hit it. Also his 3Bet CB Value was high confirming my thoughts.
Then on the Turn I called again because the 4 is a blank card and villain is an aggressive lag. However If I multiply the frequencies can I better determine his range ? I mean checking how often he bluffs here and how often he have value hands? On Turn he have 65% Cb which I thought means that he cbets like very much of the turns because the cbet turn value should be much lower.
River is check/check I don't see him folding better hands or paying with worse.
Loading 5 Comments...
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.
This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.