Check/Fold TPTK in a 3bet Pot? (NL 100)
Posted by jonzocker
Posted by jonzocker posted in Low Stakes
Check/Fold TPTK in a 3bet Pot? (NL 100)
BN: 172.13
SB: 101
BB: 169.27 (Hero)
UTG: 209
HJ: 109.25
CO: 31.60
SB: 101
BB: 169.27 (Hero)
UTG: 209
HJ: 109.25
CO: 31.60
Preflop
(1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
K
UTG folds, HJ folds, BN folds, BN raises to 2, SB folds, Hero raises to 7, BN calls 6
UTG folds, HJ folds, BN folds, BN raises to 2, SB folds, Hero raises to 7, BN calls 6
Flop
(16.50)
5
K
J
(2 Players)
Hero bets 11.55,
BN calls 11.55
Turn
(39.60)
2
(2 Players)
Hero bets 27.72,
BN calls 27.72
River
(95.04)
9
(2 Players)
Villain is unknown
I think the Flop and Turn a pretty std. I bet a bit bigger, becasue of our stacks and the FD on the Turn which I guess is fine...
My thoughts about the River:
1. of all Villain is not calling much worse but has a lot of better hands in his range
Even if he is calling some QQ or AJs combos it is still a flip (he is also capable of holding 55). Given that a bet is pretty BE to slightly -EV with a ton of variance.2. If we check and Villain bet he is rarely bluffing becasue I do not see him Jx betting and I do not give him a lot of busted draws on this board.
So what are your thoughts?
How do you play the river?
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