NL25z: Check-raised two pair on flop turns into a bluffcatcher on the river
Posted by mfutoma
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mfutoma
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Low Stakes
NL25z: Check-raised two pair on flop turns into a bluffcatcher on the river
Table Info: Version: 1, Type: Ignition, Stakes: $0.10-$0.25
Seat 1: UTG+2 ($16.34 in chips)
Seat 2: Dealer ($15.19 in chips)
Seat 3: Small Blind ($21.20 in chips)
Seat 4: Hero ($34.98 in chips)
Seat 5: UTG ($10.95 in chips)
Seat 6: UTG+1 ($38.35 in chips)
Hero : [4h Th]
UTG : Folds
UTG+1 : Raises $0.85 to $0.85
CO : Folds
Dealer : Calls $0.85
Small Blind : Folds
Hero: Calls $0.60
* FLOP * [4c 6c Td]
Hero : Checks
UTG+1 : Bets $1.82
Dealer : Calls $1.82
Hero : Raises $5.89 to $5.89
UTG+1 : Calls $4.07
Dealer : Folds
* TURN * [4c 6c Td] [Ad]
Pot: $16.25
Hero : Bets $8.01
UTG+1 : Calls $8.01
* RIVER * [4c 6c Td Ad] [As]
Pot: $32.27
Hero: Checks
UTG+1 : All-in $23.60
Hero: Calls $23.60
My thoughts on each street:
-preflop call with T4s multi-way might be too loose... I called because I feel I have an advantage versus the player pool, but also am concerned about rake considerations.
-flop check/raise seems standard except maybe should have sized it a couple BB's higher.
-turn is awkward. I definitely do not like the idea of allowing JJ-KK and Tx to get a free card, as I think they will often check behind. I decide to bet/call but I am not happy about it.
-river counterfeits me and now I consider his range. He could have AA, AT, and boats, but I think a lot of those will shove the turn on such a draw-heavy board. I think his most likely hand is Ax of clubs. However, there are so many flush draws on this board, and combo draws, that I think he plays this way. I decide to call. He ends up showing a lower two pair (46o) but I'm not concerned so much about results as the way the hand should be played in general.
What do you guys think?
Loading 2 Comments...
fold pre against a 3.5x, you could call a min raise with a lot of suited hands against weaker players, which the pfr likely is by using that sizing...but this hand is too weak with rake considerations, probably calling T8s+ here...flop is fine, turn I would probably size up more, you're really repping 2p+ and combo draws and half pot gives them too good of a price with their FDs, river is close, they shouldn't have much Ax outside of nfd that turned top pair, which is actually a decent amount of combos assuming they're opening every suited ace...they never shove JJ-KK, villain should have a lot of suited combo draws that bricked...its a very close spot, could also argue for having this in your flop x/c range and not building a big pot oop with deeper stacks when equities could shift a lot on the turn...it's kind of a puke spot to put in 150bb with counterfeited two pair, but this could be a call blocking AT, TT, 44, and unblocking a lot of draws
I don't like the preflop call, even if you got edge, I doubt you can effectively overcome rake.
TBH, I don't even know if T4s is still a call vs 2x open, probably against whales but without further analysis we are talking about nothing.
So I would fold pre given the fact it is not profitable to call and at the same time, you don't have to think at the hand on that table and you can focus on better decision on the others
Flop x/r could be bigger ofc. Turn is gross, I mean aces up are very very possible. River is a fold unless. You aren't going to see many bluffs even from big whales imho
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