check or shove this river
Posted by David Jimenez
Posted by
David Jimenez
posted in
Low Stakes
check or shove this river
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
BN: $10.00
SB: $30.10
BB: $10.00
UTG: $13.22
MP: $10.10 (Hero)
CO: $11.93
SB: $30.10
BB: $10.00
UTG: $13.22
MP: $10.10 (Hero)
CO: $11.93
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is MP with
K
A
, , , ,
I'm 3betting the suited AK and flatting the offsuited
Flop
($1.05)
T
4
A
, ,
Turn
($2.55)
T
4
A
7
, , ,
River
($8.16)
T
4
A
7
4
,
I was thinking about shoving it with the pot bet I had left but I though AT was in their ranges? but then I though they probably would have raised it OTT... I'm discarding full houses and they shouldn't have weird 4's I think... Maybe only something such as A4 which would be a cooler? so apart from the weird occasional AT... there should be a bunch of busted FD and Aces in their ranges... I was thinking AJ/AQ would probably call a shove which definitely in their ranges
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I think you have UTG beat, and unless BN is slowplaying a set you beat him too, so imo valuebet otr.
I said set cause I think he would raise 2pair at any point
I think you have the best hand almost always here. You certainly have the strongest range by a lot, you're def the only player in this hand who can still be nutted. I think you should bet 45% pot, most good players will fold AQ to a shove here.
what good players? It's 10NL... No offence but I think the majority of players will call atleast AQ/AJ here
as we don't get called by any 2nd pair I think I prefer the pot size jam. Your AK is quite underrepped but I like flatting it vs utg.
Regs who beat these stakes learn to do so by overfolding a ton.
like a lot what mason barrell says.
I could get behind just using a linear three betting range here, and a almost non existent cold-calling range. Calling is fine too.
4 on the river reduces his value range, 3 way on the river I have no problem checking this back...
In an environment where people dont like to fold too much their made hands, its usually good to go for thin value. But I would go small since I think both UTG and BTN ranges are pretty weak here. You also dont want to do a ton of bluffing 3 way on this board so the small sizing makes sense from this perspective as well
Betting small here (like 30% pot) may be viewed as weak and may induce shoves from fishy players with just TP worst kicker - if we are confident we have the best hand, max value. Just my two cents.
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