c/f flopped set?!

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

c/f flopped set?!

BN: $923.25
SB: $2302.85
BB: $656.16
UTG: $552.50 (Hero)
HJ: $804.69
CO: $267.11
HJ is a 37/30/17 super aggro fish, and BTN is a reg
Preflop ($7.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 8 8
Hero raises to $15, HJ calls $15, CO folds, BN calls $15, SB folds, BB folds
Flop ($52.50) 9 8 Q (3 Players)
Hero checks, HJ bets $35, BN raises to $142.50

I think I need to check this flop like 90% of the time, and I'm not getting stack in ahead pretty much ever anyway.
Important note: BTN snap pots it here.

HJ should never have QQ, and BTN always squeezes against a loose fish (even without one).
99 makes sense for both, but I can also see a 3b or squeeze for both.
JTs makes sense, but BTN snap pot that hand?

I'm not worried very much about HJ, but I am worried about BTN. But I just don't think he snap pots the nuts straight here, and he only has one set here. Feels like a combo draw like AJss a lot.
He probably expects me to fold >95% to his flop raise.

Thoughts?

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