Can we call river?
Posted by Skirken
Posted by
Skirken
posted in
Low Stakes
Can we call river?
BN: $50
SB: $50 (Hero)
BB: $50
UTG: $50
HJ: $50.68
CO: $42.05
SB: $50 (Hero)
BB: $50
UTG: $50
HJ: $50.68
CO: $42.05
I only have 33 hands on villain and so far he is playing 29/26.
Preflop
($0.75)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
K
UTG folds, HJ raises to $1.50, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $5.50, BB folds, HJ calls $4
UTG folds, HJ raises to $1.50, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $5.50, BB folds, HJ calls $4
Flop
($11.75)
8
5
A
(2 Players)
Hero bets $7,
HJ calls $7
I like cbetting better than check-calling here. He will have to fold a lot and it makes my hand easier to play. Thoughts?
Turn
($25.75)
8
5
A
9
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ checks
When he flats I'll give him a lot of Aces, flushdraws and a few pocket pairs. something like ATo-AQo, A2s-AQs, KJs-KTs, KQo-KJo, 99-JJ and some suited connectors like QJs-76s. I think that he would often be betting his combinations of Aces, some FDs and sometimes even his PPs for protection when I check ott.
River
($25.75)
8
5
A
9
9
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ bets $17,
Hero folds
His bets otr polarizes his range a lot as I believe he would check back almost all PPs in the range I gave him above, He will also check back Aces weaker than AJ from time to time.
Final Pot
HJ
wins $24.35
Doing the math now it seems like I need to be right 28% of the time to break even and if he is checking back his MPs and some Aces this is an easy call?
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